Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera División (Costa Rica) · Costa-Rica

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

San Carlos

1-2full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–1

Puntarenas FC

What Janus-12 said

73%

San Carlos or draw

67% success over 12 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 27 %

A prediction at 73 % fails 27 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: San Carlos or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 30/08, 15:25.

Sealed on 30/08, 23:00announced on 17/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

60% success over 10 matches in this league
66%✓

Primera Division: Apertura

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Saprissa	9	7	0	2	+10	21
2	CS Cartagines	9	6	0	3	+8	18
3	Sporting San Jose	9	5	2	2	+8	17
4	San Carlos	9	5	0	4	-1	15
5	LD Alajuelense	9	4	2	3	+5	14
6	Inter San Carlos	9	4	2	3	-3	14
7	Puntarenas FC	9	3	2	4	-5	11
8	Perez Zeledon	9	2	2	5	-7	8
9	CS Herediano	9	2	1	6	-6	7
10	Escorpiones Belén	9	1	1	7	-9	4

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

San Carlos or draw73%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Puntarenas FC scored in the 90th minute.
- The opposing bench made the difference: the goal in the 90th minute came from a substitute.
Draw or Puntarenas FC ahead at half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 38′ Puntarenas FC.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSan Carlos 4th, Puntarenas FC 7th (Primera Division: Apertura)

During the match

During the match38′ opening goal, Puntarenas FC (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match46′ equaliser, San Carlos (1-1)
During the match90′ Puntarenas FC retake the lead (1-2)
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: A. Sinclair (Puntarenas FC)

What it changes

In this league, “San Carlos or draw” goes from 66.7% to 61.5% success rate, over 13 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,890 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

San Carlos on the left, Puntarenas FC on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Y. Tejeda21'
Goal · D. Castrillo38'

Half-time0 - 1

Second half

46'Goal · J. Aguilar
Yellow card · D. Castrillo53'
Substitution · K. Fajardo ⇄ W. Cortes59'
Substitution · B. Segura ⇄ A. Sinclair59'
63'Substitution · R. Cordoba ⇄ O. Rojas
63'Substitution · K. Cerdas ⇄ C. Agualimpia
Yellow card · R. Cole65'
Substitution · A. Pineda ⇄ D. Rojas69'
Substitution · D. Castrillo ⇄ P. Alvarez69'
Yellow card · D. Rojas72'
88'Missed penalty
90+3'Yellow card · J. Vega
Goal · A. Sinclair90+4'
Yellow card90+12'

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

San Carlos or draw73%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Puntarenas FC scored in the 90th minute.
- The opposing bench made the difference: the goal in the 90th minute came from a substitute.
Draw or Puntarenas FC ahead at half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 38′ Puntarenas FC.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSan Carlos 4th, Puntarenas FC 7th (Primera Division: Apertura)

During the match

During the match38′ opening goal, Puntarenas FC (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match46′ equaliser, San Carlos (1-1)
During the match90′ Puntarenas FC retake the lead (1-2)
Line-up90′ the goal came off the bench: A. Sinclair (Puntarenas FC)

What it changes

In this league, “San Carlos or draw” goes from 66.7% to 61.5% success rate, over 13 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,890 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera Division: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes