Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

First League (Macedonia) · Macedonia

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Saturday 19 September at 19:00. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 12/09.

Vardar Skopje

2-0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 2–0

Shkëndija Haraçinë

What Janus-12 said

84%

Under 4.5 goals

83% success over 24 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 5 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 19/09, 19:03.

Sealed on 19/09, 19:00announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

77% success over 26 matches in this league
88%✓
75% success over 24 matches in this league
75%✓
71% success over 24 matches in this league
69%✓
67% success over 6 matches in this league
53%✗
63% success over 24 matches in this league
69%✗
63% success over 24 matches in this league
69%✓
55% success over 22 matches in this league
62%✗
50% success over 4 matches in this league
52%✗
46% success over 26 matches in this league
68%✓

First League

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Shkendija	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Struga	8	5	2	1	+14	17
3	Vardar Skopje	8	4	2	2	+6	14
4	Tikveš	8	3	4	1	+10	13
5	Shkëndija Haraçinë	8	4	1	3	-3	13
6	Bregalnica Štip	8	3	1	4	-2	10
7	Sileks	8	2	3	3	+3	9
8	Aresimi	8	2	2	4	-13	8
9	Bashkimi Kumanovo	8	1	1	6	-18	4
10	Skopje	8	0	3	5	-9	3

What we announced

6/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals84%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
Vardar Skopje or draw88%held
- Vardar Skopje took the lead in the 46th minute and never let it go.
Over 1.5 goals75%held
At most 1 goal before half-time69%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Over 2.5 goals53%lost
At least 1 goal before half-time69%lost
Under 3.5 goals69%held
One team ahead at half-time62%lost
Vardar Skopje ahead at half-time52%lost
Vardar Skopje to win68%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableVardar Skopje 3rd, Shkëndija Haraçinë 5th (First League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match46′ opening goal, Vardar Skopje (1-0)
During the match69′ Vardar Skopje go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 83.3% to 84% success rate, over 25 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

6/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals84%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
Vardar Skopje or draw88%held
- Vardar Skopje took the lead in the 46th minute and never let it go.
Over 1.5 goals75%held
At most 1 goal before half-time69%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Over 2.5 goals53%lost
At least 1 goal before half-time69%lost
Under 3.5 goals69%held
One team ahead at half-time62%lost
Vardar Skopje ahead at half-time52%lost
Vardar Skopje to win68%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableVardar Skopje 3rd, Shkëndija Haraçinë 5th (First League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match46′ opening goal, Vardar Skopje (1-0)
During the match69′ Vardar Skopje go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 83.3% to 84% success rate, over 25 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

First League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes