Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

First League (Macedonia) · Macedonia

full time

Monday, 21 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Monday 21 September at 15:00. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 14/09.

Struga

6–0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 6–0

Aresimi

What Janus-12 said

86%

Under 4.5 goals

84% success over 25 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 14 %

A prediction at 86 % fails 14 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 1 bookmaker

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

1xBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 21/09, 15:00.

Sealed on 21/09, 15:00announced on 05/09/2026, 15 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

78% success over 27 matches in this league
87%✓
76% success over 25 matches in this league
70%✓
72% success over 25 matches in this league
70%✓
70% success over 20 matches in this league
51%✓
64% success over 25 matches in this league
75%✗
60% success over 25 matches in this league
65%✗
52% success over 23 matches in this league
56%✗
50% success over 18 matches in this league
53%✗
48% success over 27 matches in this league
62%✓

First League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Shkendija	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Struga	8	5	2	1	+14	17
3	Vardar Skopje	8	4	2	2	+6	14
4	Tikveš	8	3	4	1	+10	13
5	Shkëndija Haraçinë	8	4	1	3	-3	13
6	Bregalnica Štip	8	3	1	4	-2	10
7	Sileks	8	2	3	3	+3	9
8	Aresimi	8	2	2	4	-13	8
9	Bashkimi Kumanovo	8	1	1	6	-18	4
10	Skopje	8	0	3	5	-9	3

What we announced

5/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals86%lost
Struga or draw87%held
- Aresimi played 28 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 62nd minute.
- Struga took the lead in the 57th minute and never let it go.
Over 1.5 goals70%held
At most 1 goal before half-time70%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Draw or Aresimi ahead at half-time51%held
Under 3.5 goals75%lost
At least 1 goal before half-time65%lost
One team ahead at half-time56%lost
Under 2.5 goals53%lost
Struga to win62%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableStruga 2nd, Aresimi 8th (First League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match57′ opening goal, Struga (1-0)
During the match62′ sending-off, Aresimi (M. Mislimi)
During the match66′ Struga go 2 goals up (2-0)
Line-up80′ the goal came off the bench: F. Rochi (Struga)
During the match88′ last goal, Struga

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 84% to 80.8% success rate, over 26 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,070 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Struga on the left, Aresimi on the right.

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

Yellow card · M. Mislimi50'
Yellow card · G. Doshev52'
57'Goal · M. Radeski
58'Substitution · A. Rochi ⇄ A. Zendelovski
Yellow card · M. Mislimi62'
Red card · M. Mislimi62'
66'Goal · M. Radeski
69'Goal · A. Aliji
Substitution · E. Gaye ⇄ I. Olaosebikan70'
Substitution · M. Goni ⇄ F. Jusufi70'
Substitution · G. Doshev ⇄ L. Kaba70'
70'Substitution · A. Aliji ⇄ A. Demiri
70'Substitution · H. Maleski ⇄ H. Agamah
71'Yellow card · L. Diako
75'Goal · M. Radeski
79'Substitution · M. Radeski ⇄ F. Rochi
79'Substitution · L. Diako ⇄ L. Rama
80'Goal · F. Rochi
Substitution · D. Contreras ⇄ S. Mustafa81'
88'Goal · B. Shabani

What we announced

5/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals86%lost
Struga or draw87%held
- Aresimi played 28 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 62nd minute.
- Struga took the lead in the 57th minute and never let it go.
Over 1.5 goals70%held
At most 1 goal before half-time70%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Draw or Aresimi ahead at half-time51%held
Under 3.5 goals75%lost
At least 1 goal before half-time65%lost
One team ahead at half-time56%lost
Under 2.5 goals53%lost
Struga to win62%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableStruga 2nd, Aresimi 8th (First League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match57′ opening goal, Struga (1-0)
During the match62′ sending-off, Aresimi (M. Mislimi)
During the match66′ Struga go 2 goals up (2-0)
Line-up80′ the goal came off the bench: F. Rochi (Struga)
During the match88′ last goal, Struga

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 84% to 80.8% success rate, over 26 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,070 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

First League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes