Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

First League (Macedonia) · Macedonia

full time

Wednesday, 23 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Wednesday 23 September at 17:00. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 16/09.

Bregalnica Štip

1–0full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 1–0

Skopje

What Janus-12 said

88%

Under 4.5 goals

81% success over 26 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 5 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 23/09, 04:34.

Sealed on 23/09, 17:01announced on 05/09/2026, 17 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

79% success over 28 matches in this league
78%✓
77% success over 26 matches in this league
70%✗
73% success over 26 matches in this league
72%✓
71% success over 21 matches in this league
64%✓
62% success over 26 matches in this league
75%✓
58% success over 26 matches in this league
66%✗
50% success over 28 matches in this league
53%✓
50% success over 24 matches in this league
56%✗
47% success over 19 matches in this league
56%✓

First League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Shkendija	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Struga	8	5	2	1	+14	17
3	Vardar Skopje	8	4	2	2	+6	14
4	Tikveš	8	3	4	1	+10	13
5	Shkëndija Haraçinë	8	4	1	3	-3	13
6	Bregalnica Štip	8	3	1	4	-2	10
7	Sileks	8	2	3	3	+3	9
8	Aresimi	8	2	2	4	-13	8
9	Bashkimi Kumanovo	8	1	1	6	-18	4
10	Skopje	8	0	3	5	-9	3

What we announced

7/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals88%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
Bregalnica Štip or draw78%held
- Bregalnica Štip took the lead in the 72nd minute and never let it go.
Over 1.5 goals70%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time72%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Draw or Skopje ahead at half-time64%held
Under 3.5 goals75%held
At least 1 goal before half-time66%lost
Bregalnica Štip to win53%held
One team ahead at half-time56%lost
Under 2.5 goals56%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBregalnica Štip 6th, Skopje 10th (First League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match72′ opening goal, Bregalnica Štip (1-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 80.8% to 81.5% success rate, over 27 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,169 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

7/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals88%held
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
Bregalnica Štip or draw78%held
- Bregalnica Štip took the lead in the 72nd minute and never let it go.
Over 1.5 goals70%lost
At most 1 goal before half-time72%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Draw or Skopje ahead at half-time64%held
Under 3.5 goals75%held
At least 1 goal before half-time66%lost
Bregalnica Štip to win53%held
One team ahead at half-time56%lost
Under 2.5 goals56%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBregalnica Štip 6th, Skopje 10th (First League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match72′ opening goal, Bregalnica Štip (1-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 80.8% to 81.5% success rate, over 27 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,169 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

First League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes