Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

First League (Macedonia) · Macedonia

full time

Friday, 11 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Friday 11 September at 15:00. Originally planned for Saturday 12 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 09/09.

Tikveš

2–2full timeHT 1–2 · 2H 1–0

Struga

What Janus-12 said

91%

Under 4.5 goals

88% success over 17 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 5 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 11/09, 13:00.

Sealed on 11/09, 15:00announced on 29/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

82% success over 17 matches in this league
75%✗
76% success over 17 matches in this league
67%✓
76% success over 17 matches in this league
78%✗
71% success over 14 matches in this league
71%✓
68% success over 19 matches in this league
73%✓
59% success over 17 matches in this league
61%✓
58% success over 12 matches in this league
60%✗
50% success over 16 matches in this league
52%✓

First League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Shkendija	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Struga	8	5	2	1	+14	17
3	Vardar Skopje	8	4	2	2	+6	14
4	Tikveš	8	3	4	1	+10	13
5	Shkëndija Haraçinë	8	4	1	3	-3	13
6	Bregalnica Štip	8	3	1	4	-2	10
7	Sileks	8	2	3	3	+3	9
8	Aresimi	8	2	2	4	-13	8
9	Bashkimi Kumanovo	8	1	1	6	-18	4
10	Skopje	8	0	3	5	-9	3

What we announced

6/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals91%held
At most 1 goal before half-time75%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 12′ Tikveš, 18′ Struga, 43′ Struga.
Over 1.5 goals67%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 12th minute, 4 in total.
Under 3.5 goals78%lost
Draw or Struga ahead at half-time71%held
Tikveš or draw73%held
- Tikveš took control early: opening goal in the 12th minute.
At least 1 goal before half-time61%held
Under 2.5 goals60%lost
One team ahead at half-time52%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTikveš 4th, Struga 2nd (First League)

During the match

During the match12′ opening goal, Tikveš (1-0)
During the match18′ equaliser, Struga (1-1)
During the match43′ turnaround, Struga go ahead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match87′ equaliser, Tikveš (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 88.2% to 88.9% success rate, over 18 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

6/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals91%held
At most 1 goal before half-time75%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 12′ Tikveš, 18′ Struga, 43′ Struga.
Over 1.5 goals67%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 12th minute, 4 in total.
Under 3.5 goals78%lost
Draw or Struga ahead at half-time71%held
Tikveš or draw73%held
- Tikveš took control early: opening goal in the 12th minute.
At least 1 goal before half-time61%held
Under 2.5 goals60%lost
One team ahead at half-time52%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTikveš 4th, Struga 2nd (First League)

During the match

During the match12′ opening goal, Tikveš (1-0)
During the match18′ equaliser, Struga (1-1)
During the match43′ turnaround, Struga go ahead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match87′ equaliser, Tikveš (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 88.2% to 88.9% success rate, over 18 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

First League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes