Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

First League (Macedonia) · Macedonia

full time

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 13 September at 14:45. Originally planned for Saturday 12 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 09/09.

Sileks

2–2full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–2

Bregalnica Štip

What Janus-12 said

90%

Under 4.5 goals

85% success over 20 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 5 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 14:32.

Sealed on 13/09, 14:45announced on 29/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

80% success over 20 matches in this league
71%✓
73% success over 22 matches in this league
84%✓
71% success over 17 matches in this league
58%✗
70% success over 20 matches in this league
73%✓
65% success over 20 matches in this league
65%✓
65% success over 20 matches in this league
75%✗
56% success over 18 matches in this league
55%✓
47% success over 15 matches in this league
56%✗
45% success over 22 matches in this league
60%✗

First League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Shkendija	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Struga	8	5	2	1	+14	17
3	Vardar Skopje	8	4	2	2	+6	14
4	Tikveš	8	3	4	1	+10	13
5	Shkëndija Haraçinë	8	4	1	3	-3	13
6	Bregalnica Štip	8	3	1	4	-2	10
7	Sileks	8	2	3	3	+3	9
8	Aresimi	8	2	2	4	-13	8
9	Bashkimi Kumanovo	8	1	1	6	-18	4
10	Skopje	8	0	3	5	-9	3

What we announced

6/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals90%held
Over 1.5 goals71%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 7th minute, 4 in total.
Sileks or draw84%held
- Sileks took control early: opening goal in the 7th minute.
Draw or Bregalnica Štip ahead at half-time58%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 7′ Sileks.
At most 1 goal before half-time73%held
At least 1 goal before half-time65%held
Under 3.5 goals75%lost
One team ahead at half-time55%held
Under 2.5 goals56%lost
Sileks to win60%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSileks 7th, Bregalnica Štip 6th (First League)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Sileks (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match49′ equaliser, Bregalnica Štip (1-1)
During the match67′ turnaround, Bregalnica Štip go ahead (1-2)
During the match82′ equaliser, Sileks (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 85% to 85.7% success rate, over 21 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Sileks on the left, Bregalnica Štip on the right.

First half

7'Own goal · B. Hadzi-Kimov
33'Yellow card · D. Angjeleski

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Goal · M. Stojanov49'
55'Substitution · M. Gjerasov ⇄ N. Manojlov
55'Substitution · A. Timovski ⇄ B. Panovski
60'Yellow card · G. Djekov
Yellow card · N. Mascoe60'
Yellow card · R. Temelkov65'
Goal · N. Mascoe67'
70'Substitution · G. Djekov ⇄ I. Subert
70'Substitution · M. Talakov ⇄ A. Mishov
Substitution · N. Mascoe ⇄ I. Gligorov71'
Substitution · R. Temelkov ⇄ S. Kocev80'
81'Substitution · N. Sero ⇄ K. Velinovski
82'Goal · A. Mishov
Yellow card · V. Velkoski83'
90+1'Yellow card · B. Panovski

What we announced

6/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals90%held
Over 1.5 goals71%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 7th minute, 4 in total.
Sileks or draw84%held
- Sileks took control early: opening goal in the 7th minute.
Draw or Bregalnica Štip ahead at half-time58%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 7′ Sileks.
At most 1 goal before half-time73%held
At least 1 goal before half-time65%held
Under 3.5 goals75%lost
One team ahead at half-time55%held
Under 2.5 goals56%lost
Sileks to win60%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSileks 7th, Bregalnica Štip 6th (First League)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Sileks (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match49′ equaliser, Bregalnica Štip (1-1)
During the match67′ turnaround, Bregalnica Štip go ahead (1-2)
During the match82′ equaliser, Sileks (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 85% to 85.7% success rate, over 21 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

First League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes