Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

First League (Macedonia) · Macedonia

full time

Friday, 11 September 2026

Match brought forward

Brought forward to Friday 11 September at 15:00. Originally planned for Saturday 12 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 09/09.

Aresimi

2-2full timeHT 1–2 · 2H 1–0

Shkendija

What Janus-12 said

50%

Level at half-time

100% success over 1 match in this league

✗ Fell into the 50 %

A prediction at 50 % fails 50 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 3 bookmakers

Bet offered: Level at half-time

Betsson
PMUC
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 11/09, 04:05.

Sealed on 11/09, 15:00announced on 29/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

88% success over 17 matches in this league
89%✓
82% success over 17 matches in this league
74%✗
76% success over 17 matches in this league
69%✓
76% success over 17 matches in this league
77%✗
71% success over 14 matches in this league
84%✓
68% success over 19 matches in this league
82%✓
59% success over 17 matches in this league
61%✓
58% success over 12 matches in this league
55%✗
53% success over 19 matches in this league
56%✗

First League

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Shkendija	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Struga	8	5	2	1	+14	17
3	Vardar Skopje	8	4	2	2	+6	14
4	Tikveš	8	3	4	1	+10	13
5	Shkëndija Haraçinë	8	4	1	3	-3	13
6	Bregalnica Štip	8	3	1	4	-2	10
7	Sileks	8	2	3	3	+3	9
8	Aresimi	8	2	2	4	-13	8
9	Bashkimi Kumanovo	8	1	1	6	-18	4
10	Skopje	8	0	3	5	-9	3

What we announced

5/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Level at half-time50%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 18′ Shkendija, 29′ Shkendija, 45′ Aresimi.
Under 4.5 goals89%held
At most 1 goal before half-time74%lost
Over 1.5 goals69%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 18th minute, 4 in total.
Under 3.5 goals77%lost
Draw or Shkendija ahead at half-time84%held
Draw or Shkendija82%held
- Shkendija took control early: opening goal in the 18th minute.
- Shkendija were never behind.
At least 1 goal before half-time61%held
Under 2.5 goals55%lost
Shkendija to win56%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Aresimi scored in the 80th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAresimi 8th, Shkendija 1st (First League)

During the match

During the match18′ opening goal, Shkendija (0-1)
During the match29′ Shkendija go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match80′ Aresimi come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Level at half-time” goes from 100% to 50% success rate, over 2 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

5/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Level at half-time50%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 18′ Shkendija, 29′ Shkendija, 45′ Aresimi.
Under 4.5 goals89%held
At most 1 goal before half-time74%lost
Over 1.5 goals69%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 18th minute, 4 in total.
Under 3.5 goals77%lost
Draw or Shkendija ahead at half-time84%held
Draw or Shkendija82%held
- Shkendija took control early: opening goal in the 18th minute.
- Shkendija were never behind.
At least 1 goal before half-time61%held
Under 2.5 goals55%lost
Shkendija to win56%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Aresimi scored in the 80th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAresimi 8th, Shkendija 1st (First League)

During the match

During the match18′ opening goal, Shkendija (0-1)
During the match29′ Shkendija go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match80′ Aresimi come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Level at half-time” goes from 100% to 50% success rate, over 2 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

First League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes