Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

First League (Macedonia) · Macedonia

full time

Monday, 7 September 2026

Vardar Skopje

2–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–0

Aresimi

What Janus-12 said

84%

Under 4.5 goals

86% success over 14 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Under 4.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 07/09, 21:00.

Sealed on 05/09, 16:00announced on 22/08/2026, 15 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

79% success over 14 matches in this league
70%✓
79% success over 14 matches in this league
76%✓
75% success over 4 matches in this league
54%✗
71% success over 14 matches in this league
72%✓
69% success over 16 matches in this league
91%✓
57% success over 14 matches in this league
70%✓
50% success over 16 matches in this league
72%✓
46% success over 13 matches in this league
63%✓
0% success over 2 matches in this league
56%✓

First League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Shkendija	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Struga	8	5	2	1	+14	17
3	Vardar Skopje	8	4	2	2	+6	14
4	Tikveš	8	3	4	1	+10	13
5	Shkëndija Haraçinë	8	4	1	3	-3	13
6	Bregalnica Štip	8	3	1	4	-2	10
7	Sileks	8	2	3	3	+3	9
8	Aresimi	8	2	2	4	-13	8
9	Bashkimi Kumanovo	8	1	1	6	-18	4
10	Skopje	8	0	3	5	-9	3

What we announced

9/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals84%held
At most 1 goal before half-time70%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 25′ Vardar Skopje.
Over 1.5 goals76%held
Over 2.5 goals54%lost
Under 3.5 goals72%held
Vardar Skopje or draw91%held
- Vardar Skopje took the lead in the 25th minute and never let it go.
- Vardar Skopje took control early: opening goal in the 25th minute.
At least 1 goal before half-time70%held
Vardar Skopje to win72%held
One team ahead at half-time63%held
Vardar Skopje ahead at half-time56%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableVardar Skopje 3rd, Aresimi 8th (First League)

During the match

During the match25′ opening goal, Vardar Skopje (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match90′ Vardar Skopje go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 85.7% to 86.7% success rate, over 15 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

9/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals84%held
At most 1 goal before half-time70%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 25′ Vardar Skopje.
Over 1.5 goals76%held
Over 2.5 goals54%lost
Under 3.5 goals72%held
Vardar Skopje or draw91%held
- Vardar Skopje took the lead in the 25th minute and never let it go.
- Vardar Skopje took control early: opening goal in the 25th minute.
At least 1 goal before half-time70%held
Vardar Skopje to win72%held
One team ahead at half-time63%held
Vardar Skopje ahead at half-time56%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableVardar Skopje 3rd, Aresimi 8th (First League)

During the match

During the match25′ opening goal, Vardar Skopje (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match90′ Vardar Skopje go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 85.7% to 86.7% success rate, over 15 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

First League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes