Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

First League (Macedonia) · Macedonia

full time

Friday, 4 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Friday 4 September at 18:00. Originally planned for Saturday 5 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Shkendija

1–3full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–2

Tikveš

What Janus-12 said

78%

Over 1.5 goals

83% success over 12 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 2 bookmakers

Bet offered: Over 1.5 goals

Betsson
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/09, 04:06.

Sealed on 04/09, 18:00announced on 22/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

83% success over 12 matches in this league
81%✓
79% success over 14 matches in this league
90%✗
75% success over 12 matches in this league
70%✓
75% success over 12 matches in this league
61%✗
67% success over 3 matches in this league
57%✓
58% success over 12 matches in this league
72%✓
57% success over 14 matches in this league
70%✗
45% success over 11 matches in this league
65%✓
0% success over 1 match in this league
57%✗

First League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Shkendija	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Struga	8	5	2	1	+14	17
3	Vardar Skopje	8	4	2	2	+6	14
4	Tikveš	8	3	4	1	+10	13
5	Shkëndija Haraçinë	8	4	1	3	-3	13
6	Bregalnica Štip	8	3	1	4	-2	10
7	Sileks	8	2	3	3	+3	9
8	Aresimi	8	2	2	4	-13	8
9	Bashkimi Kumanovo	8	1	1	6	-18	4
10	Skopje	8	0	3	5	-9	3

What we announced

6/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 1.5 goals78%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 19th minute, 4 in total.
Under 4.5 goals81%held
Shkendija or draw90%lost
- Shkendija chased the score almost all match: Tikveš scored as early as the 19th minute.
At most 1 goal before half-time70%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 19′ Tikveš.
Under 3.5 goals61%lost
Over 2.5 goals57%held
At least 1 goal before half-time72%held
Shkendija to win70%lost
One team ahead at half-time65%held
Shkendija ahead at half-time57%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableShkendija 1st, Tikveš 4th (First League)

During the match

During the match19′ opening goal, Tikveš (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match60′ Tikveš go 2 goals up (0-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Over 1.5 goals” goes from 83.3% to 84.6% success rate, over 13 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

6/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 1.5 goals78%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 19th minute, 4 in total.
Under 4.5 goals81%held
Shkendija or draw90%lost
- Shkendija chased the score almost all match: Tikveš scored as early as the 19th minute.
At most 1 goal before half-time70%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 19′ Tikveš.
Under 3.5 goals61%lost
Over 2.5 goals57%held
At least 1 goal before half-time72%held
Shkendija to win70%lost
One team ahead at half-time65%held
Shkendija ahead at half-time57%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableShkendija 1st, Tikveš 4th (First League)

During the match

During the match19′ opening goal, Tikveš (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match60′ Tikveš go 2 goals up (0-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Over 1.5 goals” goes from 83.3% to 84.6% success rate, over 13 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

First League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes