Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

First League (Macedonia) · Macedonia

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 5 September at 15:30. Originally planned for Saturday 5 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Skopje

1–2full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–1

Bashkimi Kumanovo

What Janus-12 said

85%

Under 4.5 goals

86% success over 14 matches in this league

✓ It happened

None of the bookmakers we check offers this bet on this match.

Sealed on 05/09, 15:30announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

79% success over 14 matches in this league
71%✓
79% success over 14 matches in this league
78%✓
71% success over 14 matches in this league
72%✓
69% success over 16 matches in this league
85%✗
67% success over 12 matches in this league
51%✓
60% success over 10 matches in this league
54%✗
57% success over 14 matches in this league
67%✓
50% success over 16 matches in this league
64%✗
46% success over 13 matches in this league
58%✓

First League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Shkendija	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Struga	8	5	2	1	+14	17
3	Vardar Skopje	8	4	2	2	+6	14
4	Tikveš	8	3	4	1	+10	13
5	Shkëndija Haraçinë	8	4	1	3	-3	13
6	Bregalnica Štip	8	3	1	4	-2	10
7	Sileks	8	2	3	3	+3	9
8	Aresimi	8	2	2	4	-13	8
9	Bashkimi Kumanovo	8	1	1	6	-18	4
10	Skopje	8	0	3	5	-9	3

What we announced

7/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals85%held
At most 1 goal before half-time71%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 28′ Bashkimi Kumanovo.
Over 1.5 goals78%held
Under 3.5 goals72%held
Skopje or draw85%lost
- Skopje chased the score almost all match: Bashkimi Kumanovo scored as early as the 28th minute.
Draw or Bashkimi Kumanovo ahead at half-time51%held
Under 2.5 goals54%lost
At least 1 goal before half-time67%held
Skopje to win64%lost
One team ahead at half-time58%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSkopje 10th, Bashkimi Kumanovo 9th (First League)

During the match

During the match28′ opening goal, Bashkimi Kumanovo (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match62′ Bashkimi Kumanovo go 2 goals up (0-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 85.7% to 86.7% success rate, over 15 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

7/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 goals85%held
At most 1 goal before half-time71%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 28′ Bashkimi Kumanovo.
Over 1.5 goals78%held
Under 3.5 goals72%held
Skopje or draw85%lost
- Skopje chased the score almost all match: Bashkimi Kumanovo scored as early as the 28th minute.
Draw or Bashkimi Kumanovo ahead at half-time51%held
Under 2.5 goals54%lost
At least 1 goal before half-time67%held
Skopje to win64%lost
One team ahead at half-time58%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSkopje 10th, Bashkimi Kumanovo 9th (First League)

During the match

During the match28′ opening goal, Bashkimi Kumanovo (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match62′ Bashkimi Kumanovo go 2 goals up (0-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 goals” goes from 85.7% to 86.7% success rate, over 15 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

First League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes