Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

First League (Macedonia) · Macedonia

full time

Friday, 4 September 2026

Match brought forward

Brought forward to Friday 4 September at 17:30. Originally planned for Saturday 5 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Bregalnica Štip

0-1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–1

Shkëndija Haraçinë

What Janus-12 said

75%

Over 1.5 goals

83% success over 12 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 25 %

A prediction at 75 % fails 25 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 6 bookmakers

Bet offered: Over 1.5 goals

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/09, 15:11.

Sealed on 04/09, 17:30announced on 22/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

83% success over 12 matches in this league
88%✓
79% success over 14 matches in this league
80%✗
75% success over 12 matches in this league
71%✓
75% success over 12 matches in this league
73%✓
64% success over 11 matches in this league
62%✓
58% success over 12 matches in this league
66%✗
57% success over 14 matches in this league
52%✗
56% success over 9 matches in this league
53%✓
45% success over 11 matches in this league
56%✗

First League

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Shkendija	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Struga	8	5	2	1	+14	17
3	Vardar Skopje	8	4	2	2	+6	14
4	Tikveš	8	3	4	1	+10	13
5	Shkëndija Haraçinë	8	4	1	3	-3	13
6	Bregalnica Štip	8	3	1	4	-2	10
7	Sileks	8	2	3	3	+3	9
8	Aresimi	8	2	2	4	-13	8
9	Bashkimi Kumanovo	8	1	1	6	-18	4
10	Skopje	8	0	3	5	-9	3

What we announced

5/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 1.5 goals75%lost
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
Under 4.5 goals88%held
Bregalnica Štip or draw80%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Shkëndija Haraçinë scored in the 85th minute.
At most 1 goal before half-time71%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Under 3.5 goals73%held
Draw or Shkëndija Haraçinë ahead at half-time62%held
At least 1 goal before half-time66%lost
Bregalnica Štip to win52%lost
Under 2.5 goals53%held
One team ahead at half-time56%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBregalnica Štip 6th, Shkëndija Haraçinë 5th (First League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match85′ opening goal, Shkëndija Haraçinë (0-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Over 1.5 goals” goes from 83.3% to 76.9% success rate, over 13 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

5/10

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Over 1.5 goals75%lost
- Nothing had come by the break: 0-0 at half-time.
Under 4.5 goals88%held
Bregalnica Štip or draw80%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Shkëndija Haraçinë scored in the 85th minute.
At most 1 goal before half-time71%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Under 3.5 goals73%held
Draw or Shkëndija Haraçinë ahead at half-time62%held
At least 1 goal before half-time66%lost
Bregalnica Štip to win52%lost
Under 2.5 goals53%held
One team ahead at half-time56%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBregalnica Štip 6th, Shkëndija Haraçinë 5th (First League)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match85′ opening goal, Shkëndija Haraçinë (0-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Over 1.5 goals” goes from 83.3% to 76.9% success rate, over 13 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

First League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes