Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

First League (Macedonia) · Macedonia

full time

Monday, 31 August 2026

Tikveš

1–1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 0–0

Vardar Skopje

What Janus-12 said

72%

At most 1 goal before half-time

89% success over 9 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 28 %

A prediction at 72 % fails 28 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: At most 1 goal before half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 31/08, 15:40.

Sealed on 29/08, 16:00announced on 15/08/2026, 15 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

89% success over 9 matches in this league
72%✓
82% success over 11 matches in this league
75%✓
78% success over 9 matches in this league
88%✓
67% success over 9 matches in this league
74%✓
56% success over 9 matches in this league
65%✓
50% success over 8 matches in this league
56%✗
50% success over 8 matches in this league
79%✓
50% success over 6 matches in this league
52%✓

First League

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Shkendija	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Struga	8	5	2	1	+14	17
3	Vardar Skopje	8	4	2	2	+6	14
4	Tikveš	8	3	4	1	+10	13
5	Shkëndija Haraçinë	8	4	1	3	-3	13
6	Bregalnica Štip	8	3	1	4	-2	10
7	Sileks	8	2	3	3	+3	9
8	Aresimi	8	2	2	4	-13	8
9	Bashkimi Kumanovo	8	1	1	6	-18	4
10	Skopje	8	0	3	5	-9	3

What we announced

7/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

At most 1 goal before half-time72%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 21′ Tikveš, 39′ Vardar Skopje.
Over 1.5 goals72%held
Draw or Vardar Skopje75%held
- Tikveš played 65 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 25th minute.
Under 4.5 goals88%held
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 25th minute, on the Tikveš side.
Under 3.5 goals74%held
At least 1 goal before half-time65%held
One team ahead at half-time56%lost
Draw or Vardar Skopje ahead at half-time79%held
Under 2.5 goals52%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTikveš 4th, Vardar Skopje 3rd (First League)

During the match

During the match21′ opening goal, Tikveš (1-0)
During the match25′ sending-off, Tikveš (T. Lawal)
During the match39′ equaliser, Vardar Skopje (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1

What it changes

In this league, “At most 1 goal before half-time” goes from 88.9% to 80% success rate, over 10 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

7/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

At most 1 goal before half-time72%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 21′ Tikveš, 39′ Vardar Skopje.
Over 1.5 goals72%held
Draw or Vardar Skopje75%held
- Tikveš played 65 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 25th minute.
Under 4.5 goals88%held
- The match closed up after the sending-off in the 25th minute, on the Tikveš side.
Under 3.5 goals74%held
At least 1 goal before half-time65%held
One team ahead at half-time56%lost
Draw or Vardar Skopje ahead at half-time79%held
Under 2.5 goals52%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableTikveš 4th, Vardar Skopje 3rd (First League)

During the match

During the match21′ opening goal, Tikveš (1-0)
During the match25′ sending-off, Tikveš (T. Lawal)
During the match39′ equaliser, Vardar Skopje (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1

What it changes

In this league, “At most 1 goal before half-time” goes from 88.9% to 80% success rate, over 10 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

First League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes