Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

First League (Macedonia) · Macedonia

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

Bashkimi Kumanovo

1-2full timeHT 1–2 · 2H 0–0

Shkëndija Haraçinë

What Janus-12 said

70%

At most 1 goal before half-time

89% success over 9 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 30 %

A prediction at 70 % fails 30 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 4 bookmakers

Bet offered: At most 1 goal before half-time

1xBet
Betsson
PMUC
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 30/08, 09:32.

Sealed on 29/08, 16:00announced on 15/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

89% success over 9 matches in this league
74%✓
82% success over 11 matches in this league
69%✗
78% success over 9 matches in this league
86%✓
67% success over 9 matches in this league
74%✓
56% success over 9 matches in this league
66%✓
50% success over 8 matches in this league
60%✓
50% success over 8 matches in this league
76%✓
50% success over 6 matches in this league
54%✗

First League

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Shkendija	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Struga	8	5	2	1	+14	17
3	Vardar Skopje	8	4	2	2	+6	14
4	Tikveš	8	3	4	1	+10	13
5	Shkëndija Haraçinë	8	4	1	3	-3	13
6	Bregalnica Štip	8	3	1	4	-2	10
7	Sileks	8	2	3	3	+3	9
8	Aresimi	8	2	2	4	-13	8
9	Bashkimi Kumanovo	8	1	1	6	-18	4
10	Skopje	8	0	3	5	-9	3

What we announced

6/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

At most 1 goal before half-time70%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 8′ Shkëndija Haraçinë, 25′ Bashkimi Kumanovo, 45′ Shkëndija Haraçinë.
Over 1.5 goals74%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 8th minute, 3 in total.
Bashkimi Kumanovo or draw69%lost
- Bashkimi Kumanovo chased the score almost all match: Shkëndija Haraçinë scored as early as the 8th minute.
Under 4.5 goals86%held
Under 3.5 goals74%held
At least 1 goal before half-time66%held
One team ahead at half-time60%held
Draw or Shkëndija Haraçinë ahead at half-time76%held
Under 2.5 goals54%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBashkimi Kumanovo 9th, Shkëndija Haraçinë 5th (First League)

During the match

During the match8′ opening goal, Shkëndija Haraçinë (0-1)
During the match25′ equaliser, Bashkimi Kumanovo (1-1)
During the match45′ Shkëndija Haraçinë retake the lead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2

What it changes

In this league, “At most 1 goal before half-time” goes from 88.9% to 80% success rate, over 10 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Bashkimi Kumanovo on the left, Shkëndija Haraçinë on the right.

First half

Goal · E. Fazlagic8'
25'Goal · L. Ribeiro
Goal · E. Fazlagic45+2'

Half-time1 - 2

Second half

46'Substitution · H. Saiti ⇄ A. Murati
46'Substitution · B. Iseni ⇄ B. Limani
49'Yellow card · M. Januzi
Yellow card · M. Todorov51'
Yellow card · B. Demiri60'
61'Substitution · M. Januzi ⇄ E. Saiti
61'Substitution · H. Sumer ⇄ X. Kapllanaj
Substitution · A. Mehmed ⇄ A. Nuhija63'
Yellow card · A. Nuhija68'
71'Yellow card · E. Saiti
Substitution · V. Kerim ⇄ F. Livareka72'
Substitution · R. Selmani ⇄ D. Elezi72'
Substitution · E. Fazlagic ⇄ S. Rushiti81'
Substitution · M. Todorov ⇄ D. Adili81'
85'Yellow card · G. Tenlep
87'Substitution · S. Ristovski ⇄ C. Martinez
90'Yellow card · A. Murati
90+1'Yellow card · B. Limani

What we announced

6/9

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

At most 1 goal before half-time70%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 8′ Shkëndija Haraçinë, 25′ Bashkimi Kumanovo, 45′ Shkëndija Haraçinë.
Over 1.5 goals74%held
- The match opened up straight away: first goal in the 8th minute, 3 in total.
Bashkimi Kumanovo or draw69%lost
- Bashkimi Kumanovo chased the score almost all match: Shkëndija Haraçinë scored as early as the 8th minute.
Under 4.5 goals86%held
Under 3.5 goals74%held
At least 1 goal before half-time66%held
One team ahead at half-time60%held
Draw or Shkëndija Haraçinë ahead at half-time76%held
Under 2.5 goals54%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableBashkimi Kumanovo 9th, Shkëndija Haraçinë 5th (First League)

During the match

During the match8′ opening goal, Shkëndija Haraçinë (0-1)
During the match25′ equaliser, Bashkimi Kumanovo (1-1)
During the match45′ Shkëndija Haraçinë retake the lead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2

What it changes

In this league, “At most 1 goal before half-time” goes from 88.9% to 80% success rate, over 10 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,332 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

First League

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes