Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga MX · Mexico

full time

Sunday, 27 September 2026

UNAM Pumas

2–3full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 2–2

Atl. San Luis

What Janus-12 said

59%

Draw or Atl. San Luis ahead at half-time

76% success over 55 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Atl. San Luis ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 27/09, 19:30.

Sealed on 27/09, 19:00announced on 13/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

71% success over 58 matches in this league
80%✗
41% success over 58 matches in this league
55%✗

Liga MX: Apertura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Toluca	10	6	2	2	+11	20
2	Club America	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	Guadalajara Chivas	10	5	3	2	+7	18
4	Queretaro	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Club Leon	10	5	2	3	+3	17
6	Atlas	10	5	2	3	-1	17
7	Cruz Azul	10	5	1	4	+1	16
8	Club Tijuana	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Puebla	10	4	2	4	-1	14
10	Monterrey	9	4	1	4	+2	13
11	Pachuca	10	3	3	4	+4	12
12	UNAM Pumas	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Atl. San Luis	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	Atlante	10	2	5	3	-3	11
15	Tigres UANL	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Santos Laguna	10	3	1	6	-5	10
17	Necaxa	10	2	2	6	-8	8
18	Juarez	10	1	0	9	-18	3

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Atl. San Luis ahead at half-time59%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 23′ Atl. San Luis.
UNAM Pumas or draw80%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: UNAM Pumas had 15 shots against 11, for 2 goals against 3.
- UNAM Pumas chased the score almost all match: Atl. San Luis scored as early as the 23rd minute.
UNAM Pumas to win55%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableUNAM Pumas 12th, Atl. San Luis 13th (Liga MX: Apertura)

During the match

During the match23′ opening goal, Atl. San Luis (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match52′ equaliser, UNAM Pumas (1-1)
During the match55′ Atl. San Luis retake the lead (1-2)
During the match79′ Atl. San Luis go 2 goals up (1-3)
During the match90′ last goal, UNAM Pumas

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Atl. San Luis ahead at half-time” goes from 76.4% to 76.8% success rate, over 56 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,046 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

UNAM Pumas on the left, Atl. San Luis on the right.

First half

VAR: Penalty confirmed · Felipe Mora21'
Penalty goal · Sebastien Salles-lamonge23'
Yellow card · Oscar Macias45+1'
45+1'Yellow card · Cesar Huerta

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

52'Goal · Rodrigo López
Goal · David Rodriguez (assist : Sebastien Salles-lamonge)55'
60'Substitution · Israel Luna ⇄ Kléber Carranza
Substitution · Felipe Mora ⇄ Leonardo Flores64'
67'Substitution · Pablo Bennevendo ⇄ Alan Medina
VAR: Goal confirmed · Rafael Llorente77'
Penalty goal · Sebastien Salles-lamonge79'
Substitution · David Rodriguez ⇄ Sebastián Pérez Bouquet80'
Substitution · Rafael Llorente ⇄ Roberto Meraz80'
83'Substitution · Rodrigo López ⇄ Antonio Leone
Yellow card · Román Torres85'
Substitution · Sebastien Salles-lamonge ⇄ Benjamín Galdames88'
Substitution · Anderson Duarte ⇄ Johan Caicedo88'
89'VAR: Penalty confirmed · Nathanael Ananias
90'Penalty goal · Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnio

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Atl. San Luis ahead at half-time59%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 23′ Atl. San Luis.
UNAM Pumas or draw80%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: UNAM Pumas had 15 shots against 11, for 2 goals against 3.
- UNAM Pumas chased the score almost all match: Atl. San Luis scored as early as the 23rd minute.
UNAM Pumas to win55%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableUNAM Pumas 12th, Atl. San Luis 13th (Liga MX: Apertura)

During the match

During the match23′ opening goal, Atl. San Luis (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match52′ equaliser, UNAM Pumas (1-1)
During the match55′ Atl. San Luis retake the lead (1-2)
During the match79′ Atl. San Luis go 2 goals up (1-3)
During the match90′ last goal, UNAM Pumas

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Atl. San Luis ahead at half-time” goes from 76.4% to 76.8% success rate, over 56 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,046 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Liga MX: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes