Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga MX · Mexico

full time

Sunday, 27 September 2026

Guadalajara Chivas

0-2full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 0–1

Queretaro

What Janus-12 said

58%

Draw or Queretaro ahead at half-time

78% success over 51 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Queretaro ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 26/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 27/09, 00:07announced on 13/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

70% success over 54 matches in this league
82%✗
43% success over 54 matches in this league
55%✗

Liga MX: Apertura

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Toluca	10	6	2	2	+11	20
2	Club America	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	Guadalajara Chivas	10	5	3	2	+7	18
4	Queretaro	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Club Leon	10	5	2	3	+3	17
6	Atlas	10	5	2	3	-1	17
7	Cruz Azul	10	5	1	4	+1	16
8	Club Tijuana	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Puebla	10	4	2	4	-1	14
10	Monterrey	9	4	1	4	+2	13
11	Pachuca	10	3	3	4	+4	12
12	UNAM Pumas	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Atl. San Luis	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	Atlante	10	2	5	3	-3	11
15	Tigres UANL	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Santos Laguna	10	3	1	6	-5	10
17	Necaxa	10	2	2	6	-8	8
18	Juarez	10	1	0	9	-18	3

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Queretaro ahead at half-time58%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 12′ Queretaro.
Guadalajara Chivas or draw82%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Guadalajara Chivas had 26 shots against 13, for 0 goal against 2.
- Guadalajara Chivas chased the score almost all match: Queretaro scored as early as the 12th minute.
Guadalajara Chivas to win55%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGuadalajara Chivas 3rd, Queretaro 4th (Liga MX: Apertura)

During the match

During the match12′ opening goal, Queretaro (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match68′ Queretaro go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match90′ sending-off, Guadalajara Chivas (Omar Govea)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Queretaro ahead at half-time” goes from 78.4% to 78.8% success rate, over 52 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,960 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Guadalajara Chivas on the left, Queretaro on the right.

First half

Goal · Ali Ávila (assist : Enzo Giménez)12'
Yellow card · Bayron Duarte41'
45'Substitution · Fernando González ⇄ Richard Ledezma
45'Substitution · Brian Gutierrez ⇄ Ángel Sepúlveda

Half-time0 - 1

Second half

Substitution · Bayron Duarte ⇄ Carlos Villanueva52'
62'Substitution · Kevin Castañeda ⇄ Efrain Alvarez
Substitution · Iker Benito Sánchez ⇄ Bernardo Parra65'
Goal · Mateo Coronel (assist : Enzo Giménez)68'
77'Substitution · Hugo Camberos ⇄ Jordan Carrillo
Substitution · Mateo Coronel ⇄ Alejandro Alcalá Solorio83'
Substitution · Carlo Garcia ⇄ Paulo Victor83'
85'Substitution · Daniel Aguirre ⇄ Luis Rey
Yellow card · Lucas Abascia87'
90'Red card · Omar Govea

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Queretaro ahead at half-time58%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 12′ Queretaro.
Guadalajara Chivas or draw82%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Guadalajara Chivas had 26 shots against 13, for 0 goal against 2.
- Guadalajara Chivas chased the score almost all match: Queretaro scored as early as the 12th minute.
Guadalajara Chivas to win55%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGuadalajara Chivas 3rd, Queretaro 4th (Liga MX: Apertura)

During the match

During the match12′ opening goal, Queretaro (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match68′ Queretaro go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match90′ sending-off, Guadalajara Chivas (Omar Govea)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Queretaro ahead at half-time” goes from 78.4% to 78.8% success rate, over 52 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,960 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Liga MX: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes