Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga MX · Mexico

full time

Monday, 21 September 2026

Toluca

2–3full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 0–2

Santos Laguna

What Janus-12 said

62%

Toluca ahead at half-time

100% success over 2 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Toluca ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 21/09, 04:00.

Sealed on 21/09, 01:00announced on 07/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

71% success over 49 matches in this league
93%✗
45% success over 49 matches in this league
77%✗

Liga MX: Apertura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Toluca	10	6	2	2	+11	20
2	Club America	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	Guadalajara Chivas	10	5	3	2	+7	18
4	Queretaro	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Club Leon	10	5	2	3	+3	17
6	Atlas	10	5	2	3	-1	17
7	Cruz Azul	10	5	1	4	+1	16
8	Club Tijuana	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Puebla	10	4	2	4	-1	14
10	Monterrey	9	4	1	4	+2	13
11	Pachuca	10	3	3	4	+4	12
12	UNAM Pumas	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Atl. San Luis	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	Atlante	10	2	5	3	-3	11
15	Tigres UANL	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Santos Laguna	10	3	1	6	-5	10
17	Necaxa	10	2	2	6	-8	8
18	Juarez	10	1	0	9	-18	3

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Toluca ahead at half-time62%held
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 25′ Toluca, 43′ Toluca, 45′ Santos Laguna.
Toluca or draw93%lost
- Toluca finished with ten men: sent off in the 45th minute, 45 minutes a man down.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Santos Laguna scored in the 90th minute.
Toluca to win77%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableToluca 1st, Santos Laguna 16th (Liga MX: Apertura)

During the match

During the match25′ opening goal, Toluca (1-0)
During the match43′ Toluca go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match45′ sending-off, Toluca (Everardo Lopez)
During the match86′ Santos Laguna come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match90′ turnaround, Santos Laguna go ahead (2-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Toluca ahead at half-time” goes from 100% to 100% success rate, over 3 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Toluca on the left, Santos Laguna on the right.

First half

25'Goal · Federico Viñas (assist : Alexis Vega)
38'Yellow card · Nicolás Castro
43'Goal · João Paulo Dias Fernandes (assist : Alexis Vega)
Substitution · Emmanuel Echeverria ⇄ Diego González45'
Substitution · Salvador Mariscal ⇄ Francisco Villalba45'
Goal · Ezequiel Bullaude45+1'
45+4'Yellow card · Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich
45+7'VAR: Card upgrade confirmed · Everardo Lopez
45+7'Red card · Everardo Lopez
Yellow card · Facundo Cáseres45+8'

Half-time2 – 1

Second half

66'Substitution · Alexis Vega ⇄ Jorge Diaz
66'Substitution · Federico Viñas ⇄ Jesús Angulo
Substitution · L. Gómez ⇄ Kevin Palacios69'
Substitution · Ezequiel Bullaude ⇄ Eduardo Aguirre69'
Substitution · Facundo Cáseres ⇄ Javier Guemez75'
81'Substitution · João Paulo Dias Fernandes ⇄ Luan Garcia
Goal · Kevin Palacios (assist : Francisco Villalba)86'
90+1'Substitution · Nicolás Castro ⇄ Brian Garcia
VAR: Goal cancelled · Eduardo Aguirre90+3'
Goal · Francisco Villalba (assist : Mauricio Cuevas)90+5'

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Toluca ahead at half-time62%held
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 25′ Toluca, 43′ Toluca, 45′ Santos Laguna.
Toluca or draw93%lost
- Toluca finished with ten men: sent off in the 45th minute, 45 minutes a man down.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Santos Laguna scored in the 90th minute.
Toluca to win77%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableToluca 1st, Santos Laguna 16th (Liga MX: Apertura)

During the match

During the match25′ opening goal, Toluca (1-0)
During the match43′ Toluca go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match45′ sending-off, Toluca (Everardo Lopez)
During the match86′ Santos Laguna come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match90′ turnaround, Santos Laguna go ahead (2-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Toluca ahead at half-time” goes from 100% to 100% success rate, over 3 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Liga MX: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes