Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga MX · Mexico

full time

Monday, 14 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Monday 14 September at 02:07. Originally planned for Monday 14 September at 01:07.

Change noted on 03/09.

Guadalajara Chivas

3–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 2–0

UNAM Pumas

What Janus-12 said

58%

Draw or UNAM Pumas ahead at half-time

78% success over 37 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 42 %

A prediction at 58 % fails 42 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 7 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or UNAM Pumas ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 14/09, 02:09announced on 31/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

69% success over 39 matches in this league
79%✓
44% success over 39 matches in this league
55%✓

Liga MX: Apertura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Toluca	10	6	2	2	+11	20
2	Club America	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	Guadalajara Chivas	10	5	3	2	+7	18
4	Queretaro	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Club Leon	10	5	2	3	+3	17
6	Atlas	10	5	2	3	-1	17
7	Cruz Azul	10	5	1	4	+1	16
8	Club Tijuana	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Puebla	10	4	2	4	-1	14
10	Monterrey	9	4	1	4	+2	13
11	Pachuca	10	3	3	4	+4	12
12	UNAM Pumas	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Atl. San Luis	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	Atlante	10	2	5	3	-3	11
15	Tigres UANL	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Santos Laguna	10	3	1	6	-5	10
17	Necaxa	10	2	2	6	-8	8
18	Juarez	10	1	0	9	-18	3

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or UNAM Pumas ahead at half-time58%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 3′ Guadalajara Chivas.
Guadalajara Chivas or draw79%held
- Guadalajara Chivas took the lead in the 3rd minute and never let it go.
- Guadalajara Chivas took control early: opening goal in the 3rd minute.
Guadalajara Chivas to win55%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGuadalajara Chivas 3rd, UNAM Pumas 12th (Liga MX: Apertura)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Guadalajara Chivas (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match56′ Guadalajara Chivas go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or UNAM Pumas ahead at half-time” goes from 78.4% to 76.3% success rate, over 38 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,367 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Guadalajara Chivas on the left, UNAM Pumas on the right.

First half

3'Goal · Santiago Sandoval (assist : Fernando González)
Yellow card · Pedro Vite38'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

56'Goal · Santiago Sandoval (assist : Ángel Sepúlveda)
57'Substitution · Ángel Sepúlveda ⇄ Bryan Gonzalez
57'Substitution · Hugo Camberos ⇄ Richard Ledezma
57'Substitution · Omar Govea ⇄ Efrain Alvarez
Substitution · Carlos Antuna ⇄ Alan Medina61'
Substitution · Pedro Vite ⇄ Adalberto Carrasquilla61'
67'Goal · Bryan Gonzalez (assist : Efrain Alvarez)
68'Substitution · Daniel Aguirre ⇄ Luis Rey
Substitution · Victor Arteaga ⇄ Israel Luna71'
Substitution · Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnio ⇄ Santiago Trigos71'
77'Substitution · Santiago Sandoval ⇄ Brian Gutierrez
80'Yellow card · Diego Campillo
Yellow card · Luciano Herrera80'
Substitution · Luciano Herrera ⇄ Santiago Lopez89'

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or UNAM Pumas ahead at half-time58%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 3′ Guadalajara Chivas.
Guadalajara Chivas or draw79%held
- Guadalajara Chivas took the lead in the 3rd minute and never let it go.
- Guadalajara Chivas took control early: opening goal in the 3rd minute.
Guadalajara Chivas to win55%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableGuadalajara Chivas 3rd, UNAM Pumas 12th (Liga MX: Apertura)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Guadalajara Chivas (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match56′ Guadalajara Chivas go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or UNAM Pumas ahead at half-time” goes from 78.4% to 76.3% success rate, over 38 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,367 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Liga MX: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes