Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga MX · Mexico

full time

Friday, 11 September 2026

Date changed (2 times)

Moved to Friday 11 September at 04:05. Originally planned for Friday 11 September at 04:00.

Change noted on 10/09.

UNAM Pumas

3-1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 2–1

Club Leon

What Janus-12 said

64%

Draw or Club Leon ahead at half-time

83% success over 30 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 36 %

A prediction at 64 % fails 36 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Draw or Club Leon ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 10/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 11/09, 04:05announced on 23/08/2026, 18 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 32 matches in this league
77%✓

Liga MX: Apertura

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Toluca	10	6	2	2	+11	20
2	Club America	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	Guadalajara Chivas	10	5	3	2	+7	18
4	Queretaro	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Club Leon	10	5	2	3	+3	17
6	Atlas	10	5	2	3	-1	17
7	Cruz Azul	10	5	1	4	+1	16
8	Club Tijuana	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Puebla	10	4	2	4	-1	14
10	Monterrey	9	4	1	4	+2	13
11	Pachuca	10	3	3	4	+4	12
12	UNAM Pumas	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Atl. San Luis	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	Atlante	10	2	5	3	-3	11
15	Tigres UANL	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Santos Laguna	10	3	1	6	-5	10
17	Necaxa	10	2	2	6	-8	8
18	Juarez	10	1	0	9	-18	3

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Club Leon ahead at half-time64%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 45′ UNAM Pumas.
UNAM Pumas or draw77%held
- UNAM Pumas took the lead in the 70th minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 5 shots on target for UNAM Pumas against 3.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableUNAM Pumas 12th, Club Leon 5th (Liga MX: Apertura)

During the match

During the match45′ opening goal, UNAM Pumas (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match53′ equaliser, Club Leon (1-1)
During the match70′ UNAM Pumas retake the lead (2-1)
During the match87′ UNAM Pumas go 2 goals up (3-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Club Leon ahead at half-time” goes from 83.3% to 80.6% success rate, over 31 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,383 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

UNAM Pumas on the left, Club Leon on the right.

First half

22'Substitution · Cristian Calderon ⇄ Ángel Azuaje
23'Yellow card · Ángel Azuaje
Yellow card · Juan Dominguez43'
45'Goal · Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnio (assist : Rodrigo López)
Substitution · Juan Dominguez ⇄ Diber Cambindo45'

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

Goal · Jose Alvarado53'
Substitution · Jose Rodriguez ⇄ Rodrigo Echeverría61'
65'Substitution · Carlos Antuna ⇄ Alan Medina
70'Goal · Robert Morales (assist : Luciano Herrera)
Substitution · Jose Alvarado ⇄ Fernando Beltran71'
Substitution · Christopher Mora ⇄ Salvador Reyes71'
74'Substitution · Victor Arteaga ⇄ Israel Luna
74'Substitution · Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnio ⇄ Adalberto Carrasquilla
74'Substitution · Rodrigo López ⇄ Jesús Rivas
87'Goal · Pedro Vite (assist : Alan Medina)
90+4'Yellow card · Luciano Herrera

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Club Leon ahead at half-time64%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 45′ UNAM Pumas.
UNAM Pumas or draw77%held
- UNAM Pumas took the lead in the 70th minute and never let it go.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 5 shots on target for UNAM Pumas against 3.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableUNAM Pumas 12th, Club Leon 5th (Liga MX: Apertura)

During the match

During the match45′ opening goal, UNAM Pumas (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match53′ equaliser, Club Leon (1-1)
During the match70′ UNAM Pumas retake the lead (2-1)
During the match87′ UNAM Pumas go 2 goals up (3-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Club Leon ahead at half-time” goes from 83.3% to 80.6% success rate, over 31 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,383 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Liga MX: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes