Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga MX · Mexico

full time

Sunday, 6 September 2026

Atlas

1-1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 0–1

Atlante

What Janus-12 said

69%

Draw or Atlante ahead at half-time

85% success over 27 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 31 %

A prediction at 69 % fails 31 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Draw or Atlante ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 06/09, 03:40.

Sealed on 06/09, 04:00announced on 23/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

72% success over 29 matches in this league
71%✓

Liga MX: Apertura

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Toluca	10	6	2	2	+11	20
2	Club America	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	Guadalajara Chivas	10	5	3	2	+7	18
4	Queretaro	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Club Leon	10	5	2	3	+3	17
6	Atlas	10	5	2	3	-1	17
7	Cruz Azul	10	5	1	4	+1	16
8	Club Tijuana	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Puebla	10	4	2	4	-1	14
10	Monterrey	9	4	1	4	+2	13
11	Pachuca	10	3	3	4	+4	12
12	UNAM Pumas	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Atl. San Luis	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	Atlante	10	2	5	3	-3	11
15	Tigres UANL	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Santos Laguna	10	3	1	6	-5	10
17	Necaxa	10	2	2	6	-8	8
18	Juarez	10	1	0	9	-18	3

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Atlante ahead at half-time69%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 7′ Atlas.
Atlas or draw71%held
- Atlas took control early: opening goal in the 7th minute.
- Atlas were never behind.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAtlas 6th, Atlante 14th (Liga MX: Apertura)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Atlas (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match48′ equaliser, Atlante (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Atlante ahead at half-time” goes from 85.2% to 82.1% success rate, over 28 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,299 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Atlas on the left, Atlante on the right.

First half

7'Goal · Luís André Leite Esteves
Yellow card · Eugenio Pizzuto14'
VAR: Penalty confirmed · Luis Puente32'
Missed penalty · Jhojan Julio35'
Substitution · Armando Escobar ⇄ Martín Fernández45'

Half-time1 - 0

Second half

Goal · Martín Sarrafiore48'
VAR: Penalty cancelled · Jhojan Julio51'
57'Substitution · Ryan Mmaee ⇄ Sergio Hernández
58'Substitution · Jorge Rodríguez ⇄ Milton Valenzuela
Substitution · Aarón Quirós ⇄ Diogo Osmar Bagüí Tobar70'
Substitution · Luis Puente ⇄ Joaquín Alejandro Moxica Chapa70'
Yellow card · Eduardo Tercero75'
77'Yellow card · Aldo Rocha
Yellow card · Joaquín Alejandro Moxica Chapa80'
81'Substitution · Arturo González ⇄ J. Serrato
86'Yellow card · Rodrigo Schlegel
87'Substitution · Aldo Rocha ⇄ Paulo Ramirez
Substitution · Walter Portales ⇄ Juan Carrera90'
Substitution · Cristóbal Alfaro ⇄ Gilberto Adame90+3'

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Atlante ahead at half-time69%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 7′ Atlas.
Atlas or draw71%held
- Atlas took control early: opening goal in the 7th minute.
- Atlas were never behind.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAtlas 6th, Atlante 14th (Liga MX: Apertura)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, Atlas (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match48′ equaliser, Atlante (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Atlante ahead at half-time” goes from 85.2% to 82.1% success rate, over 28 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,299 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Liga MX: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes