Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga MX · Mexico

full time

Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Wednesday 16 September at 02:00. Originally planned for Saturday 5 September at 02:00.

Change noted on 06/09.

Puebla

0–1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–1

Toluca

What Janus-12 said

73%

Draw or Toluca ahead at half-time

84% success over 25 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Toluca ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 15/09, 04:06.

Sealed on 05/09, 02:00announced on 22/08/2026, 24 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

70% success over 27 matches in this league
74%✓

Liga MX: Apertura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Toluca	10	6	2	2	+11	20
2	Club America	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	Guadalajara Chivas	10	5	3	2	+7	18
4	Queretaro	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Club Leon	10	5	2	3	+3	17
6	Atlas	10	5	2	3	-1	17
7	Cruz Azul	10	5	1	4	+1	16
8	Club Tijuana	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Puebla	10	4	2	4	-1	14
10	Monterrey	9	4	1	4	+2	13
11	Pachuca	10	3	3	4	+4	12
12	UNAM Pumas	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Atl. San Luis	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	Atlante	10	2	5	3	-3	11
15	Tigres UANL	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Santos Laguna	10	3	1	6	-5	10
17	Necaxa	10	2	2	6	-8	8
18	Juarez	10	1	0	9	-18	3

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Toluca ahead at half-time73%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Puebla or Toluca74%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePuebla 9th, Toluca 1st (Liga MX: Apertura)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match69′ opening goal, Toluca (0-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Toluca ahead at half-time” goes from 84% to 84.6% success rate, over 26 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,869 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Puebla on the left, Toluca on the right.

First half

Substitution · Franco Romero ⇄ Víctor Guzmán45'

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

57'Yellow card · Ignacio Maestro
Substitution · Everardo Lopez ⇄ Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro59'
Substitution · Jesús Angulo ⇄ Jorge Diaz59'
Own goal · José Pachuca69'
72'Substitution · Carlos Baltazar ⇄ Heriberto Jurado
75'Substitution · Brayan Garnica ⇄ Omar Moreno
Substitution · Federico Viñas ⇄ Luan Garcia77'
90'VAR: Card upgrade confirmed · Mathías Adrián Tomás Borges
Yellow card · Bruno Méndez90'
90+4'Substitution · Fernando Monarrez ⇄ Oscar Villa
90+4'Substitution · José Pachuca ⇄ Iker Moreno
90+4'Substitution · Alejandro Organista ⇄ Alberto Herrera
Substitution · João Paulo Dias Fernandes ⇄ Oswaldo Virgen90+6'

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Toluca ahead at half-time73%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Puebla or Toluca74%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePuebla 9th, Toluca 1st (Liga MX: Apertura)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match69′ opening goal, Toluca (0-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Toluca ahead at half-time” goes from 84% to 84.6% success rate, over 26 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,869 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Liga MX: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes