Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Liga MX · Mexico

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

Pachuca

1-1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–0

Guadalajara Chivas

What Janus-12 said

73%

Draw or Guadalajara Chivas ahead at half-time

81% success over 21 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Guadalajara Chivas ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 29/08, 15:43.

Sealed on 30/08, 00:00announced on 16/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

76% success over 21 matches in this league
71%✗

Liga MX: Apertura

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Toluca	10	6	2	2	+11	20
2	Club America	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	Guadalajara Chivas	10	5	3	2	+7	18
4	Queretaro	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Club Leon	10	5	2	3	+3	17
6	Atlas	10	5	2	3	-1	17
7	Cruz Azul	10	5	1	4	+1	16
8	Club Tijuana	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Puebla	10	4	2	4	-1	14
10	Monterrey	9	4	1	4	+2	13
11	Pachuca	10	3	3	4	+4	12
12	UNAM Pumas	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Atl. San Luis	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	Atlante	10	2	5	3	-3	11
15	Tigres UANL	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Santos Laguna	10	3	1	6	-5	10
17	Necaxa	10	2	2	6	-8	8
18	Juarez	10	1	0	9	-18	3

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Guadalajara Chivas ahead at half-time73%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 3′ Guadalajara Chivas.
Pachuca or Guadalajara Chivas71%lost
- The volume of chances went no further: 2.95 expected goals in total.
- The two teams managed only 12 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePachuca 11th, Guadalajara Chivas 3rd (Liga MX: Apertura)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Guadalajara Chivas (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match79′ equaliser, Pachuca (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Guadalajara Chivas ahead at half-time” goes from 81% to 81.8% success rate, over 22 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,588 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Pachuca on the left, Guadalajara Chivas on the right.

First half

Goal · R. Alvarado (assist : H. Camberos)3'
25'Yellow card · O. Idrissi
32'Yellow card · F. Venegas

Half-time0 - 1

Second half

Substitution · E. Alvarez ⇄ B. Gutierrez51'
53'Yellow card · C. Sanchez
57'Substitution · A. Bautista ⇄ R. Pizarro
Substitution · S. Sandoval ⇄ R. Ledezma59'
Substitution · H. Camberos ⇄ J. Carrillo59'
65'Substitution · O. Idrissi ⇄ N. Vallejo
65'Substitution · E. Montiel ⇄ A. Arroyo
79'Penalty goal · S. Rondon
Substitution · R. Marin ⇄ A. Sepulveda84'
Substitution · O. Govea ⇄ K. Castaneda84'
87'Substitution · Kenedy ⇄ A. Alcaraz
90'Yellow card · A. Arroyo

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Guadalajara Chivas ahead at half-time73%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 3′ Guadalajara Chivas.
Pachuca or Guadalajara Chivas71%lost
- The volume of chances went no further: 2.95 expected goals in total.
- The two teams managed only 12 shots on target in total, for 2 goals.

What happened

Before kick-off

TablePachuca 11th, Guadalajara Chivas 3rd (Liga MX: Apertura)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Guadalajara Chivas (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match79′ equaliser, Pachuca (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Guadalajara Chivas ahead at half-time” goes from 81% to 81.8% success rate, over 22 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,588 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Liga MX: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes