Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Serie A · Italy

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Parma

2–1full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–1

Genoa

What Janus-12 said

84%

Under 5.5 yellow cards

87% success over 39 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 16 %

A prediction at 84 % fails 16 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Under 5.5 yellow cards

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 06:03.

Sealed on 20/09, 14:00announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

83% success over 36 matches in this league
64%✗
77% success over 43 matches in this league
68%✗
74% success over 46 matches in this league
74%✓
69% success over 45 matches in this league
78%✓
67% success over 27 matches in this league
52%✓
66% success over 44 matches in this league
63%✓
64% success over 39 matches in this league
81%✓
62% success over 45 matches in this league
69%✗
53% success over 36 matches in this league
65%✓
52% success over 42 matches in this league
60%✗

Serie A

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Roma	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	-9	0

What we announced

6/11

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 5.5 yellow cards84%lost
- 6 yellow cards for 27 fouls given.
Under 4.5 yellow cards64%lost
Draw or Genoa ahead at half-time68%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 38′ Parma.
Parma or draw74%held
- Parma took the lead in the 80th minute and never let it go.
Under 11.5 corners78%held
- 7 corners in total, with 42% possession for Parma.
Under 9.5 corners52%held
Under 10.5 corners63%held
Over 2.5 yellow cards81%held
Over 7.5 corners69%lost
Over 3.5 yellow cards65%held
Over 8.5 corners60%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableParma 15th, Genoa 19th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match38′ opening goal, Parma (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match70′ equaliser, Genoa (1-1)
During the match80′ Parma retake the lead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 5.5 yellow cards” goes from 87.2% to 85% success rate, over 40 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Parma on the left, Genoa on the right.

First half

9'Yellow card · D. Drobnic
Yellow card · S. Otoa14'
38'Goal · D. Romero (assist : E. B. Toure)
Yellow card · A. Marcandalli44'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

56'Substitution · D. Romero ⇄ N. Elphege
56'Substitution · E. B. Toure ⇄ P. Almqvist
Substitution · K. Ehizibue ⇄ S. El Shaarawy60'
Substitution · S. Otoa ⇄ D. Puczka60'
67'Substitution · S. Lontani ⇄ G. Fabbian
Substitution · T. Baldanzi ⇄ L. Colombo69'
Goal · M. Osmajic (assist : L. Colombo)70'
80'Goal · P. Almqvist (assist : N. Elphege)
81'Substitution · Diego Carlos ⇄ S. Britschgi
81'Substitution · V. Sierro ⇄ C. Ordonez
Substitution · D. Sow ⇄ Vitinha85'
Substitution · Junior Messias ⇄ H. J. Traore85'
85'Yellow card · E. Delprato
Yellow card · M. E. Ellertsson90+2'
90+3'Yellow card · M. Troilo

What we announced

6/11

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 5.5 yellow cards84%lost
- 6 yellow cards for 27 fouls given.
Under 4.5 yellow cards64%lost
Draw or Genoa ahead at half-time68%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 38′ Parma.
Parma or draw74%held
- Parma took the lead in the 80th minute and never let it go.
Under 11.5 corners78%held
- 7 corners in total, with 42% possession for Parma.
Under 9.5 corners52%held
Under 10.5 corners63%held
Over 2.5 yellow cards81%held
Over 7.5 corners69%lost
Over 3.5 yellow cards65%held
Over 8.5 corners60%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableParma 15th, Genoa 19th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match38′ opening goal, Parma (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match70′ equaliser, Genoa (1-1)
During the match80′ Parma retake the lead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 5.5 yellow cards” goes from 87.2% to 85% success rate, over 40 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Serie A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes