Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Serie A · Italy

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Frosinone

2–0full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 0–0

Como

What Janus-12 said

50%

Under 4.5 yellow cards

83% success over 36 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 50 %

A prediction at 50 % fails 50 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Under 4.5 yellow cards

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 17:02.

Sealed on 20/09, 14:00announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

77% success over 43 matches in this league
78%✗
74% success over 46 matches in this league
77%✓
69% success over 45 matches in this league
60%✗
66% success over 44 matches in this league
55%✗
64% success over 39 matches in this league
85%✓
62% success over 45 matches in this league
80%✓
57% success over 46 matches in this league
50%✗
56% success over 18 matches in this league
60%✓
53% success over 36 matches in this league
71%✓
52% success over 42 matches in this league
70%✓

Serie A

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Roma	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	-9	0

What we announced

6/11

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 yellow cards50%lost
- 5 yellow cards for 19 fouls given.
Draw or Como ahead at half-time78%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 14′ Frosinone, 45′ Frosinone.
Frosinone or Como77%held
Under 11.5 corners60%lost
- 15 corners in total, with 35% possession for Frosinone.
Under 10.5 corners55%lost
Over 2.5 yellow cards85%held
Over 7.5 corners80%held
Como to win50%lost
- Como chased the score almost all match: Frosinone scored as early as the 14th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Como had 26 shots against 22, for 0 goal against 2.
Over 9.5 corners60%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards71%held
Over 8.5 corners70%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFrosinone 6th, Como 8th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match14′ opening goal, Frosinone (1-0)
During the match45′ Frosinone go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 yellow cards” goes from 83.3% to 81.1% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Frosinone on the left, Como on the right.

First half

14'Goal · G. Calo (assist : R. Schmid)
Yellow card · Y. Couto34'
45+1'Yellow card · G. Kvernadze
45+3'Goal · G. Kvernadze (assist : R. Schmid)

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

Substitution · L. Da Cunha ⇄ S. Ricci46'
Substitution · A. Douvikas ⇄ M. Kean46'
Substitution · M. Baturina ⇄ J. Rodriguez46'
53'Substitution · I. Monterisi ⇄ G. Cittadini
56'Yellow card · G. Bracaglia
Substitution · L. Milla ⇄ M. Perrone73'
Substitution · A. Valle ⇄ Kaiki73'
79'Substitution · G. Calo ⇄ M. Cichella
80'Substitution · G. Kvernadze ⇄ A. Zerbin
88'Substitution · F. Ghedjemis ⇄ W. Amey
88'Substitution · R. Schmid ⇄ A. El Azzouzi
90+2'Yellow card · A. Raimondo
Yellow card · A. Diao90+5'

What we announced

6/11

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 4.5 yellow cards50%lost
- 5 yellow cards for 19 fouls given.
Draw or Como ahead at half-time78%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 14′ Frosinone, 45′ Frosinone.
Frosinone or Como77%held
Under 11.5 corners60%lost
- 15 corners in total, with 35% possession for Frosinone.
Under 10.5 corners55%lost
Over 2.5 yellow cards85%held
Over 7.5 corners80%held
Como to win50%lost
- Como chased the score almost all match: Frosinone scored as early as the 14th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Como had 26 shots against 22, for 0 goal against 2.
Over 9.5 corners60%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards71%held
Over 8.5 corners70%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFrosinone 6th, Como 8th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match14′ opening goal, Frosinone (1-0)
During the match45′ Frosinone go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0

What it changes

In this league, “Under 4.5 yellow cards” goes from 83.3% to 81.1% success rate, over 37 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Serie A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes