Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Serie A · Italy

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Fiorentina

1–1full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–0

Napoli

What Janus-12 said

85%

Under 5.5 yellow cards

87% success over 39 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 1 bookmaker

Bet offered: Under 5.5 yellow cards

1xBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 06:03.

Sealed on 20/09, 11:30announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

83% success over 36 matches in this league
67%✓
76% success over 42 matches in this league
75%✓
73% success over 45 matches in this league
74%✓
69% success over 45 matches in this league
69%✓
67% success over 27 matches in this league
51%✓
66% success over 44 matches in this league
64%✓
64% success over 39 matches in this league
82%✓
62% success over 45 matches in this league
72%✓
53% success over 36 matches in this league
59%✗
52% success over 42 matches in this league
59%✓

Serie A

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Roma	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	-9	0

What we announced

10/11

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 5.5 yellow cards85%held
- 3 yellow cards for 20 fouls given.
Under 4.5 yellow cards67%held
Draw or Napoli ahead at half-time75%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 23′ Napoli.
Draw or Napoli74%held
- Napoli were never behind.
- Napoli took control early: opening goal in the 23rd minute.
Under 11.5 corners69%held
- 9 corners in total, with 42% possession for Fiorentina.
Under 9.5 corners51%held
Under 10.5 corners64%held
Over 2.5 yellow cards82%held
Over 7.5 corners72%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards59%lost
Over 8.5 corners59%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFiorentina 17th, Napoli 9th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match23′ opening goal, Napoli (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match51′ equaliser, Fiorentina (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 5.5 yellow cards” goes from 87.2% to 87.5% success rate, over 40 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Fiorentina on the left, Napoli on the right.

First half

Goal · B. Gilmour (assist : M. Politano)23'
42'Yellow card · F. Mastantuono

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

46'Substitution · Viery ⇄ V. Valdepenas
51'Goal · A. Jimenez (assist : C. Ndour)
Substitution · R. Hojlund ⇄ L. Lucca58'
Substitution · N. Lang ⇄ David Neres58'
62'Yellow card · L. Ranieri
66'Substitution · A. Atta ⇄ Pote
66'Substitution · M. Pellegrino ⇄ Beto
Substitution · M. Politano ⇄ C. Favasuli73'
80'Substitution · A. Njie ⇄ W. Gnonto
83'Yellow card · D. de Gea
85'Substitution · L. Ranieri ⇄ M. Pongracic
Substitution · S. Lobotka ⇄ F. Anguissa90'

What we announced

10/11

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 5.5 yellow cards85%held
- 3 yellow cards for 20 fouls given.
Under 4.5 yellow cards67%held
Draw or Napoli ahead at half-time75%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 23′ Napoli.
Draw or Napoli74%held
- Napoli were never behind.
- Napoli took control early: opening goal in the 23rd minute.
Under 11.5 corners69%held
- 9 corners in total, with 42% possession for Fiorentina.
Under 9.5 corners51%held
Under 10.5 corners64%held
Over 2.5 yellow cards82%held
Over 7.5 corners72%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards59%lost
Over 8.5 corners59%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFiorentina 17th, Napoli 9th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match23′ opening goal, Napoli (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match51′ equaliser, Fiorentina (1-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 5.5 yellow cards” goes from 87.2% to 87.5% success rate, over 40 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Serie A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes