Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Serie A · Italy

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Roma

2–2full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 0–2

Inter

What Janus-12 said

74%

Under 5.5 yellow cards

89% success over 37 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 26 %

A prediction at 74 % fails 26 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 1 bookmaker

Bet offered: Under 5.5 yellow cards

1xBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 00:32.

Sealed on 19/09, 17:00announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

86% success over 35 matches in this league
57%✗
78% success over 40 matches in this league
73%✗
74% success over 43 matches in this league
72%✗
67% success over 43 matches in this league
74%✓
65% success over 26 matches in this league
54%✓
64% success over 42 matches in this league
64%✓
63% success over 43 matches in this league
71%✗
62% success over 37 matches in this league
82%✓
53% success over 40 matches in this league
56%✗
50% success over 34 matches in this league
64%✓

Serie A

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Roma	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	-9	0

What we announced

5/11

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 5.5 yellow cards74%lost
- 6 yellow cards for 19 fouls given.
Under 4.5 yellow cards57%lost
Draw or Inter ahead at half-time73%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 6′ Roma, 37′ Roma.
Roma or Inter72%lost
- The two teams managed only 9 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
- The volume of chances went no further: 4.06 expected goals in total.
Under 11.5 corners74%held
- 6 corners in total, with 49% possession for Roma.
Under 9.5 corners54%held
Under 10.5 corners64%held
Over 7.5 corners71%lost
Over 2.5 yellow cards82%held
Over 8.5 corners56%lost
Over 3.5 yellow cards64%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRoma 1st, Inter 2nd (Serie A)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, Roma (1-0)
During the match37′ Roma go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match79′ Inter come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 5.5 yellow cards” goes from 89.2% to 86.8% success rate, over 38 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Roma on the left, Inter on the right.

First half

6'Goal · M. Kone (assist : N. Molina)
Yellow card · N. Barella11'
37'Goal · M. Kone (assist : G. Mancini)
Yellow card · M. Akanji45+4'

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

Goal · L. Martinez (assist : M. Thuram)46'
Substitution · C. Jones ⇄ P. Sucic54'
Substitution · F. Dimarco ⇄ Carlos Augusto54'
Yellow card · A. Bastoni57'
60'Substitution · G. Mancini ⇄ E. Ndicka
60'Substitution · M. Kone ⇄ N. Pisilli
60'Substitution · N. Molina ⇄ D. Rensch
Substitution · A. Bastoni ⇄ Luis Henrique63'
66'Substitution · L. Balerdi ⇄ D. Ghilardi
73'Yellow card · E. Ndicka
Goal · L. Martinez (assist : Y. Bisseck)79'
81'Substitution · M. Hermoso ⇄ K. Koulierakis
82'Yellow card · K. Koulierakis
89'Yellow card · D. Ghilardi
Substitution · M. Thuram ⇄ A. Bonny90'
Substitution · L. Martinez ⇄ F. Esposito90'

What we announced

5/11

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 5.5 yellow cards74%lost
- 6 yellow cards for 19 fouls given.
Under 4.5 yellow cards57%lost
Draw or Inter ahead at half-time73%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 6′ Roma, 37′ Roma.
Roma or Inter72%lost
- The two teams managed only 9 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
- The volume of chances went no further: 4.06 expected goals in total.
Under 11.5 corners74%held
- 6 corners in total, with 49% possession for Roma.
Under 9.5 corners54%held
Under 10.5 corners64%held
Over 7.5 corners71%lost
Over 2.5 yellow cards82%held
Over 8.5 corners56%lost
Over 3.5 yellow cards64%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRoma 1st, Inter 2nd (Serie A)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, Roma (1-0)
During the match37′ Roma go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match79′ Inter come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 5.5 yellow cards” goes from 89.2% to 86.8% success rate, over 38 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Serie A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes