Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Serie A · Italy

full time

Sunday, 20 September 2026

AC Milan

3–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 2–0

Lecce

What Janus-12 said

77%

Under 5.5 yellow cards

86% success over 42 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 1 bookmaker

Bet offered: Under 5.5 yellow cards

1xBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 17:02.

Sealed on 20/09, 19:45announced on 07/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

79% success over 39 matches in this league
61%✓
76% success over 49 matches in this league
85%✓
72% success over 46 matches in this league
52%✗
69% success over 29 matches in this league
50%✓
69% success over 48 matches in this league
76%✓
67% success over 42 matches in this league
76%✗
66% success over 47 matches in this league
65%✓
63% success over 48 matches in this league
67%✗
57% success over 49 matches in this league
62%✓
54% success over 39 matches in this league
60%✗
53% success over 45 matches in this league
57%✗

Serie A

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Roma	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	-9	0

What we announced

7/12

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 5.5 yellow cards77%held
- 1 yellow cards for 21 fouls given.
Under 4.5 yellow cards61%held
AC Milan or draw85%held
- AC Milan took the lead in the 14th minute and never let it go.
- AC Milan took control early: opening goal in the 14th minute.
Draw or Lecce ahead at half-time52%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 14′ AC Milan.
Under 9.5 corners50%held
- 5 corners in total, with 70% possession for AC Milan.
Under 11.5 corners76%held
Over 2.5 yellow cards76%lost
Under 10.5 corners65%held
Over 7.5 corners67%lost
AC Milan to win62%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards60%lost
Over 8.5 corners57%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAC Milan 5th, Lecce 12th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match14′ opening goal, AC Milan (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match61′ AC Milan go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 5.5 yellow cards” goes from 85.7% to 86% success rate, over 43 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

AC Milan on the left, Lecce on the right.

First half

14'Goal · C. Pulisic (assist : S. Pavlovic)

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

Substitution · N. Stulic ⇄ P. Esteban46'
Yellow card · D. Veiga58'
61'Goal · A. Rabiot (assist : G. Ramos)
70'Substitution · A. Saelemaekers ⇄ D. Moreira
70'Substitution · C. Pulisic ⇄ R. Loftus-Cheek
Substitution · J. Monteiro ⇄ A. Fatah70'
Substitution · Y. Maleh ⇄ O. Ngom70'
Substitution · I. Ilic ⇄ M. Kaba70'
73'Goal · D. Moreira
76'Substitution · L. Modric ⇄ Y. Musah
76'Substitution · P. Estupinan ⇄ D. Bartesaghi
Substitution · S. Pierotti ⇄ K. Ndri82'
89'Substitution · S. Chukwueze ⇄ F. Camarda

What we announced

7/12

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 5.5 yellow cards77%held
- 1 yellow cards for 21 fouls given.
Under 4.5 yellow cards61%held
AC Milan or draw85%held
- AC Milan took the lead in the 14th minute and never let it go.
- AC Milan took control early: opening goal in the 14th minute.
Draw or Lecce ahead at half-time52%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 14′ AC Milan.
Under 9.5 corners50%held
- 5 corners in total, with 70% possession for AC Milan.
Under 11.5 corners76%held
Over 2.5 yellow cards76%lost
Under 10.5 corners65%held
Over 7.5 corners67%lost
AC Milan to win62%held
Over 3.5 yellow cards60%lost
Over 8.5 corners57%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAC Milan 5th, Lecce 12th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match14′ opening goal, AC Milan (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match61′ AC Milan go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 5.5 yellow cards” goes from 85.7% to 86% success rate, over 43 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Serie A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes