Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Serie A · Italy

full time

Friday, 11 September 2026

Venezia

2–4full timeHT 1–2 · 2H 1–2

Fiorentina

What Janus-12 said

67%

Draw or Fiorentina ahead at half-time

79% success over 29 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Fiorentina ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 00:00.

Sealed on 11/09, 19:45announced on 29/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

77% success over 30 matches in this league
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70% success over 30 matches in this league
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69% success over 29 matches in this league
63%✓
67% success over 21 matches in this league
52%✓
60% success over 30 matches in this league
72%✗
44% success over 27 matches in this league
60%✗

Serie A

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Roma	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	-9	0

What we announced

5/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Fiorentina ahead at half-time67%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 22′ Venezia, 29′ Fiorentina, 30′ Fiorentina.
Venezia or Fiorentina70%held
Under 11.5 corners72%held
- 6 corners in total, with 62% possession for Venezia.
Under 10.5 corners63%held
Under 9.5 corners52%held
Over 7.5 corners72%lost
Over 8.5 corners60%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableVenezia 20th, Fiorentina 17th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match22′ opening goal, Venezia (1-0)
During the match29′ equaliser, Fiorentina (1-1)
During the match30′ turnaround, Fiorentina go ahead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match66′ turnaround, Fiorentina go ahead (1-3)
During the match84′ turnaround, Fiorentina go ahead (1-4)
During the match86′ Fiorentina go 2 goals up (2-4)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Fiorentina ahead at half-time” goes from 79.3% to 80% success rate, over 30 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Venezia on the left, Fiorentina on the right.

First half

22'Goal · A. Adams (assist : G. Busio)
Goal · F. Mastantuono (assist : A. Jimenez)29'
Goal · F. Mastantuono (assist : Beto)30'
38'Yellow card · J. Schingtienne
44'Substitution · G. Busio ⇄ T. J. Helgason

Half-time1 – 2

Second half

Substitution · A. Atta ⇄ W. Gnonto60'
Substitution · Beto ⇄ M. Pellegrino60'
Goal · M. Pellegrino (assist : N. Fagioli)66'
69'Substitution · R. Sagrado ⇄ T. Correia
69'Substitution · M. Moreno ⇄ Juan Jesus
Yellow card · A. Njie72'
73'Yellow card · S. Sohm
80'Substitution · J. Yeboah ⇄ T. Fernandez
80'Substitution · S. Sohm ⇄ L. Lauberbach
Substitution · A. Njie ⇄ Pote80'
Goal · F. Mastantuono84'
86'Goal · A. Hainaut (assist : R. Haps)
Substitution · L. Ranieri ⇄ M. Pongracic89'
Substitution · F. Mastantuono ⇄ M. Brescianini89'

What we announced

5/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Fiorentina ahead at half-time67%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-2 at half-time, 22′ Venezia, 29′ Fiorentina, 30′ Fiorentina.
Venezia or Fiorentina70%held
Under 11.5 corners72%held
- 6 corners in total, with 62% possession for Venezia.
Under 10.5 corners63%held
Under 9.5 corners52%held
Over 7.5 corners72%lost
Over 8.5 corners60%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableVenezia 20th, Fiorentina 17th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match22′ opening goal, Venezia (1-0)
During the match29′ equaliser, Fiorentina (1-1)
During the match30′ turnaround, Fiorentina go ahead (1-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2
During the match66′ turnaround, Fiorentina go ahead (1-3)
During the match84′ turnaround, Fiorentina go ahead (1-4)
During the match86′ Fiorentina go 2 goals up (2-4)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Fiorentina ahead at half-time” goes from 79.3% to 80% success rate, over 30 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,414 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Serie A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes