Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Serie A · Italy

full time

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Lecce

3–2full timeHT 3–1 · 2H 0–1

Monza

What Janus-12 said

64%

Draw or Monza ahead at half-time

79% success over 33 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 36 %

A prediction at 64 % fails 36 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Draw or Monza ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 14:32.

Sealed on 13/09, 14:00announced on 30/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

74% success over 34 matches in this league
73%✓
71% success over 34 matches in this league
76%✓
70% success over 33 matches in this league
65%✓
70% success over 23 matches in this league
54%✗
56% success over 34 matches in this league
67%✓
42% success over 31 matches in this league
56%✓

Serie A

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Roma	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	-9	0

What we announced

5/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Monza ahead at half-time64%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 3-1 at half-time, 3′ Lecce, 10′ Lecce, 20′ Monza, 21′ Lecce.
Lecce or draw73%held
- Lecce took the lead in the 3rd minute and never let it go.
- Lecce took control early: opening goal in the 3rd minute.
Under 11.5 corners76%held
- 10 corners in total, with 39% possession for Lecce.
Under 10.5 corners65%held
Under 9.5 corners54%lost
Over 7.5 corners67%held
Over 8.5 corners56%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLecce 12th, Monza 16th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Lecce (1-0)
During the match10′ Lecce go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-1
During the match89′ last goal, Monza

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Monza ahead at half-time” goes from 78.8% to 76.5% success rate, over 34 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Lecce on the left, Monza on the right.

First half

3'Goal · L. Coulibaly (assist : I. Ilic)
10'Goal · Tiago Gabriel (assist : I. Ilic)
Goal · R. Mangas (assist : S. Birindelli)20'
21'Goal · L. Coulibaly (assist : D. Veiga)
38'Yellow card · K. Ndri

Half-time3 – 1

Second half

Substitution · R. Mangas ⇄ A. Bakoune46'
46'Substitution · K. Ndri ⇄ S. Pierotti
Substitution · J. Robinson ⇄ P. Cutrone64'
Substitution · A. Colpani ⇄ E. Zeballos64'
66'Substitution · I. Ilic ⇄ O. Ngom
74'Substitution · J. Monteiro ⇄ A. Fatah
74'Substitution · N. Stulic ⇄ P. Esteban
Substitution · G. Varela ⇄ O. Forson75'
Substitution · E. Akinsanmiro ⇄ M. Mout84'
85'Substitution · Y. Maleh ⇄ M. Kaba
Goal · E. Zeballos89'
90'Yellow card · D. Veiga

What we announced

5/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Monza ahead at half-time64%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 3-1 at half-time, 3′ Lecce, 10′ Lecce, 20′ Monza, 21′ Lecce.
Lecce or draw73%held
- Lecce took the lead in the 3rd minute and never let it go.
- Lecce took control early: opening goal in the 3rd minute.
Under 11.5 corners76%held
- 10 corners in total, with 39% possession for Lecce.
Under 10.5 corners65%held
Under 9.5 corners54%lost
Over 7.5 corners67%held
Over 8.5 corners56%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLecce 12th, Monza 16th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Lecce (1-0)
During the match10′ Lecce go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 3-1
During the match89′ last goal, Monza

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Monza ahead at half-time” goes from 78.8% to 76.5% success rate, over 34 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,117 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Serie A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes