Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Serie A · Italy

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 12 September at 17:00. Originally planned for Sunday 13 September at 19:45.

Change noted on 03/09.

Lazio

2–2full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 0–2

AC Milan

What Janus-12 said

68%

Draw or AC Milan ahead at half-time

81% success over 31 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 32 %

A prediction at 68 % fails 32 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 4 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or AC Milan ahead at half-time

1xBet
BetPawa
Betsson
SportyBet

We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 16:32.

Sealed on 12/09, 17:00announced on 31/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 32 matches in this league
70%✓
69% success over 32 matches in this league
78%✓
68% success over 22 matches in this league
55%✓
68% success over 31 matches in this league
65%✓
59% success over 32 matches in this league
67%✗
45% success over 29 matches in this league
54%✗

Serie A

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Roma	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	-9	0

What we announced

4/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or AC Milan ahead at half-time68%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 10′ Lazio, 39′ Lazio.
Lazio or draw70%held
- Lazio took control early: opening goal in the 10th minute.
- Lazio were never behind.
Under 11.5 corners78%held
- 7 corners in total, with 34% possession for Lazio.
Under 9.5 corners55%held
Under 10.5 corners65%held
Over 7.5 corners67%lost
Over 8.5 corners54%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLazio 3rd, AC Milan 5th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match10′ opening goal, Lazio (1-0)
During the match39′ Lazio go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match67′ AC Milan come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or AC Milan ahead at half-time” goes from 80.6% to 78.1% success rate, over 32 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Lazio on the left, AC Milan on the right.

First half

10'Goal · M. Cancellieri (assist : M. Zaccagni)
39'Goal · T. Noslin

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

Substitution · R. Loftus-Cheek ⇄ C. Pulisic46'
Substitution · P. Estupinan ⇄ D. Moreira46'
Substitution · L. Modric ⇄ Y. Musah46'
58'Substitution · M. Cancellieri ⇄ G. Isaksen
58'Substitution · T. Noslin ⇄ A. Pinamonti
Yellow card · C. Pulisic59'
63'Yellow card · R. Belahyane
Yellow card · S. Pavlovic64'
Goal · D. Moreira (assist : C. Pulisic)65'
Goal · D. Moreira (assist : A. Rabiot)67'
74'Substitution · K. Taylor ⇄ A. Gudmundsson
Substitution · A. Cisse ⇄ O. Hutchinson77'
78'Yellow card · M. Zaccagni
84'Substitution · J. Sutalo ⇄ D. Leite
84'Substitution · R. Floriani ⇄ M. Lazzari
Substitution · G. Ramos ⇄ F. Camarda85'
Yellow card · M. Gila86'

What we announced

4/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or AC Milan ahead at half-time68%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-0 at half-time, 10′ Lazio, 39′ Lazio.
Lazio or draw70%held
- Lazio took control early: opening goal in the 10th minute.
- Lazio were never behind.
Under 11.5 corners78%held
- 7 corners in total, with 34% possession for Lazio.
Under 9.5 corners55%held
Under 10.5 corners65%held
Over 7.5 corners67%lost
Over 8.5 corners54%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLazio 3rd, AC Milan 5th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match10′ opening goal, Lazio (1-0)
During the match39′ Lazio go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match67′ AC Milan come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or AC Milan ahead at half-time” goes from 80.6% to 78.1% success rate, over 32 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,609 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Serie A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes