Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Serie A · Italy

full time

Monday, 14 September 2026

Inter

5–3full timeHT 2–2 · 2H 3–1

Udinese

What Janus-12 said

89%

Inter or draw

73% success over 37 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Inter or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 14/09, 23:30.

Sealed on 14/09, 19:45announced on 01/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

70% success over 37 matches in this league
62%✓
69% success over 36 matches in this league
53%✗
59% success over 37 matches in this league
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59% success over 37 matches in this league
79%✓
50% success over 12 matches in this league
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47% success over 34 matches in this league
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0% success over 1 match in this league
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Serie A

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Roma	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	-9	0

What we announced

6/8

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Inter or draw89%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 12 shots on target for Inter against 5.
- Inter took control early: opening goal in the 26th minute.
Under 11.5 corners62%held
- 11 corners in total, with 65% possession for Inter.
Under 10.5 corners53%lost
Inter to win72%held
Over 7.5 corners79%held
Over 9.5 corners60%held
Over 8.5 corners70%held
Inter ahead at half-time54%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-2 at half-time, 9′ Udinese, 16′ Udinese, 26′ Inter, 35′ Inter.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableInter 2nd, Udinese 13th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match9′ opening goal, Udinese (0-1)
During the match16′ Udinese go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match35′ Inter come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-2
During the match57′ turnaround, Inter go ahead (3-2)
During the match67′ turnaround, Inter go ahead (4-2)
During the match79′ turnaround, Inter go ahead (5-2)
During the match90′ Inter go 2 goals up (5-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Inter or draw” goes from 73% to 73.7% success rate, over 38 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,546 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Inter on the left, Udinese on the right.

First half

Goal · J. Abankwah (assist : U. Gomez)9'
Goal · J. Ekkelenkamp (assist : K. Davis)16'
26'Goal · Carlos Augusto
35'Goal · N. Barella (assist : M. Thuram)
Yellow card · K. Davis45'

Half-time2 – 2

Second half

57'Goal · M. Thuram (assist : A. Diouf)
60'Yellow card · H. Mkhitaryan
Substitution · U. Gomez ⇄ I. Gueye61'
62'Substitution · J. Stones ⇄ B. Pavard
62'Substitution · H. Mkhitaryan ⇄ C. Jones
67'Goal · F. Esposito (assist : P. Zielinski)
70'Substitution · M. Thuram ⇄ A. Bonny
70'Substitution · A. Bastoni ⇄ F. Dimarco
Substitution · L. Miller ⇄ G. Chakvetadze73'
Substitution · M. Vojvoda ⇄ N. Bertola74'
79'Goal · A. Bonny
Substitution · K. Davis ⇄ V. Bayo80'
Substitution · J. Ekkelenkamp ⇄ S. Lovric80'
82'Substitution · P. Zielinski ⇄ A. Stankovic
Goal · I. Gueye (assist : V. Bayo)90'

What we announced

6/8

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Inter or draw89%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 12 shots on target for Inter against 5.
- Inter took control early: opening goal in the 26th minute.
Under 11.5 corners62%held
- 11 corners in total, with 65% possession for Inter.
Under 10.5 corners53%lost
Inter to win72%held
Over 7.5 corners79%held
Over 9.5 corners60%held
Over 8.5 corners70%held
Inter ahead at half-time54%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-2 at half-time, 9′ Udinese, 16′ Udinese, 26′ Inter, 35′ Inter.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableInter 2nd, Udinese 13th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match9′ opening goal, Udinese (0-1)
During the match16′ Udinese go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the match35′ Inter come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-2
During the match57′ turnaround, Inter go ahead (3-2)
During the match67′ turnaround, Inter go ahead (4-2)
During the match79′ turnaround, Inter go ahead (5-2)
During the match90′ Inter go 2 goals up (5-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Inter or draw” goes from 73% to 73.7% success rate, over 38 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,546 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Serie A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes