Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Serie A · Italy

full time

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Atalanta

1–2full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 0–1

Cagliari

What Janus-12 said

62%

Draw or Cagliari ahead at half-time

78% success over 32 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Cagliari ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 16:32.

Sealed on 12/09, 19:45announced on 30/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

76% success over 33 matches in this league
80%✗
69% success over 32 matches in this league
68%✓
68% success over 31 matches in this league
60%✓
61% success over 33 matches in this league
52%✗
59% success over 32 matches in this league
75%✗
50% success over 10 matches in this league
55%✗
45% success over 29 matches in this league
68%✗

Serie A

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Roma	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	-9	0

What we announced

3/8

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Cagliari ahead at half-time62%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 19′ Cagliari, 41′ Atalanta.
Atalanta or draw80%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Atalanta had 22 shots against 5, for 1 goal against 2.
- Atalanta chased the score almost all match: Cagliari scored as early as the 19th minute.
Under 11.5 corners68%held
- 5 corners in total, with 61% possession for Atalanta.
Under 10.5 corners60%held
Atalanta to win52%lost
Over 7.5 corners75%lost
Over 9.5 corners55%lost
Over 8.5 corners68%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAtalanta 11th, Cagliari 4th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match19′ opening goal, Cagliari (0-1)
During the match41′ equaliser, Atalanta (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match61′ Cagliari retake the lead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Cagliari ahead at half-time” goes from 78.1% to 78.8% success rate, over 33 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,949 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

What we announced

3/8

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Cagliari ahead at half-time62%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 19′ Cagliari, 41′ Atalanta.
Atalanta or draw80%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Atalanta had 22 shots against 5, for 1 goal against 2.
- Atalanta chased the score almost all match: Cagliari scored as early as the 19th minute.
Under 11.5 corners68%held
- 5 corners in total, with 61% possession for Atalanta.
Under 10.5 corners60%held
Atalanta to win52%lost
Over 7.5 corners75%lost
Over 9.5 corners55%lost
Over 8.5 corners68%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAtalanta 11th, Cagliari 4th (Serie A)

During the match

During the match19′ opening goal, Cagliari (0-1)
During the match41′ equaliser, Atalanta (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match61′ Cagliari retake the lead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Cagliari ahead at half-time” goes from 78.1% to 78.8% success rate, over 33 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,949 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Serie A

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes