Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera A · Colombia

full time

Sunday, 27 September 2026

Jaguares

1–2full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 0–1

Alianza Valledupar

What Janus-12 said

76%

Jaguares or draw

82% success over 66 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 24 %

A prediction at 76 % fails 24 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Jaguares or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 26/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 27/09, 22:00announced on 14/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

68% success over 28 matches in this league
67%✓

Apertura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	+20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	+7	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	+4	34
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	+10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	+9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	+10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	+7	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	+4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	+8	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	+2	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	+6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	-3	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	-5	22
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	-13	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	-17	10

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Jaguares or draw76%lost
Over 7.5 corners67%held
- 13 corners in total, with 57% possession for Jaguares.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableJaguares 16th, Alianza Valledupar 17th (Apertura)

During the match

During the match15′ opening goal, Jaguares (1-0)
During the match39′ equaliser, Alianza Valledupar (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match72′ turnaround, Alianza Valledupar go ahead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Jaguares or draw” goes from 81.8% to 80.6% success rate, over 67 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,127 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Jaguares on the left, Alianza Valledupar on the right.

First half

15'Goal · Andrés Rentería (assist : Johan Beltrán)
31'Yellow card · Johan Beltrán
36'Yellow card · Luis Jimenez
Goal · Jair Castillo (assist : J. Lasso)39'

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

47'Yellow card · Santiago Cubides
Yellow card · Kevin Moreno49'
56'Substitution · Santiago Cubides ⇄ Darwin Lopez
63'Substitution · Johar Mejia ⇄ Duvan Rodriguez
64'Substitution · Johan Beltrán ⇄ Cristian Alvarez
Substitution · Kevin Moreno ⇄ Sebastián Quiñones64'
Substitution · Ever Meza ⇄ Wiston Fernández65'
Goal · J. Lasso (assist : Wiston Fernández)72'
Substitution · Jesús Muñoz ⇄ Leyner Palacios80'
Substitution · Deinner Quiñones ⇄ Charly Villegas González80'
80'Substitution · Jerson Malagon ⇄ Wilfrido De la Rosa
80'Substitution · Luis Jimenez ⇄ Andres Felipe Alfonso Ciprian
Yellow card · Sebastián Quiñones81'
Substitution · Cristian Andrés Vergara Rivas ⇄ Josy Pérez90+3'
90+7'Yellow card · Andres Felipe Alfonso Ciprian

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Jaguares or draw76%lost
Over 7.5 corners67%held
- 13 corners in total, with 57% possession for Jaguares.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableJaguares 16th, Alianza Valledupar 17th (Apertura)

During the match

During the match15′ opening goal, Jaguares (1-0)
During the match39′ equaliser, Alianza Valledupar (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match72′ turnaround, Alianza Valledupar go ahead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Jaguares or draw” goes from 81.8% to 80.6% success rate, over 67 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,127 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes