Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera A · Colombia

full time

Monday, 28 September 2026

Fortaleza FC

2–2full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 2–1

Deportes Tolima

What Janus-12 said

68%

Fortaleza FC or Deportes Tolima

82% success over 66 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 32 %

A prediction at 68 % fails 32 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Fortaleza FC or Deportes Tolima

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 27/09, 19:30.

Sealed on 28/09, 00:05announced on 14/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

68% success over 28 matches in this league
62%✓

Apertura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	+20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	+7	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	+4	34
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	+10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	+9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	+10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	+7	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	+4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	+8	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	+2	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	+6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	-3	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	-5	22
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	-13	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	-17	10

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Fortaleza FC or Deportes Tolima68%lost
- The two teams managed only 7 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Over 7.5 corners62%held
- 8 corners in total, with 57% possession for Fortaleza FC.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFortaleza FC 15th, Deportes Tolima 6th (Apertura)

During the match

During the match30′ opening goal, Deportes Tolima (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match51′ equaliser, Fortaleza FC (1-1)
During the match73′ Deportes Tolima retake the lead (1-2)
During the match90′ equaliser, Fortaleza FC (2-2)
During the match90′ sending-off, Fortaleza FC (Teun Wilke)

What it changes

In this league, “Fortaleza FC or Deportes Tolima” goes from 81.8% to 80.6% success rate, over 67 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,127 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Fortaleza FC on the left, Deportes Tolima on the right.

First half

6'Yellow card · Yesid Díaz
10'Yellow card · Jordan Garcia
Yellow card · Homer Martinez27'
Own goal · Yesid Díaz30'
33'Yellow card · Santiago Vivas Vélez
33'Yellow card · Brandón Andrés Mejía Fajardo
Substitution · Homer Martinez ⇄ Sebastian Guzman45'
Substitution · Cristian Arrieta ⇄ Brayan Rovira45'
Substitution · Junior Hernandez ⇄ Jorge Hurtado45'

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

Yellow card · Jan Angulo47'
51'Goal · Juan Sebastian Herrera (assist : Jordan Garcia)
Yellow card · Ever Valencia56'
64'Substitution · Mariano Vázquez ⇄ Jhoiner Salas
64'Substitution · Santiago Vivas Vélez ⇄ Italo Montano Cortes
Substitution · S. Aguayo ⇄ Luis Sanchez68'
Substitution · Ever Valencia ⇄ Luis Sandoval68'
71'Substitution · Jordan Garcia ⇄ Leonardo Pico
Goal · Jorge Hurtado (assist : Luis Sandoval)73'
76'Yellow card · Italo Montano Cortes
Yellow card · Shean Barbosa77'
80'Substitution · Brandón Andrés Mejía Fajardo ⇄ Franco Pulicastro
80'Substitution · Santiago Cuero ⇄ Julio Sinisterra
Yellow card · Sebastian Guzman84'
90+2'Red card · Teun Wilke
Yellow card · Luis Sandoval90+5'
90+6'Goal · Sebastian Navarro

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Fortaleza FC or Deportes Tolima68%lost
- The two teams managed only 7 shots on target in total, for 4 goals.
Over 7.5 corners62%held
- 8 corners in total, with 57% possession for Fortaleza FC.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFortaleza FC 15th, Deportes Tolima 6th (Apertura)

During the match

During the match30′ opening goal, Deportes Tolima (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match51′ equaliser, Fortaleza FC (1-1)
During the match73′ Deportes Tolima retake the lead (1-2)
During the match90′ equaliser, Fortaleza FC (2-2)
During the match90′ sending-off, Fortaleza FC (Teun Wilke)

What it changes

In this league, “Fortaleza FC or Deportes Tolima” goes from 81.8% to 80.6% success rate, over 67 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,127 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes