Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera A · Colombia

full time

Monday, 21 September 2026

Llaneros

2–0full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 0–0

Atletico Nacional

What Janus-12 said

80%

Draw or Atletico Nacional

84% success over 55 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 20 %

A prediction at 80 % fails 20 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Draw or Atletico Nacional

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 20/09, 23:00.

Sealed on 21/09, 02:15announced on 07/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

68% success over 22 matches in this league
70%✓

Clausura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	America de Cali	12	8	3	1	+17	27
2	Deportivo Cali	12	7	3	2	+11	24
3	Bucaramanga	11	6	5	0	+10	23
4	Atletico Nacional	10	7	1	2	+11	22
5	Santa Fe	12	6	4	2	+7	22
6	Millonarios	13	5	6	2	+7	21
7	Independiente Medellin	12	6	2	4	+3	20
8	Deportes Tolima	12	5	4	3	+2	19
9	Cucuta	12	4	3	5	-4	15
10	Llaneros	12	4	2	6	-1	14
11	Águilas Doradas	11	3	5	3	-1	14
12	Once Caldas	12	3	4	5	-1	13
13	Internacional de Bogota	13	2	7	4	-4	13
14	Chico	11	3	3	5	-8	12
15	Alianza Valledupar	12	3	2	7	-12	11
16	Fortaleza FC	12	1	7	4	-5	10
17	Junior	11	2	3	6	-4	9
18	Deportivo Pasto	12	2	3	7	-9	9
19	Deportivo Pereira	11	1	5	5	-10	8
20	Jaguares	11	1	4	6	-9	7

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Atletico Nacional80%lost
- Atletico Nacional finished with ten men: sent off in the 85th minute, 5 minutes a man down.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Atletico Nacional had 20 shots against 8, for 0 goal against 2.
Over 7.5 corners70%held
- 13 corners in total, with 21% possession for Llaneros.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLlaneros 10th, Atletico Nacional 4th (Clausura)

During the match

During the match15′ opening goal, Llaneros (1-0)
During the match34′ Llaneros go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match85′ sending-off, Atletico Nacional (Yeicar Perlaza)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Atletico Nacional” goes from 83.6% to 82.1% success rate, over 56 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Llaneros on the left, Atletico Nacional on the right.

First half

15'Goal · Yorleys Mena (assist : Jhon Vasquez)
24'Yellow card · Howell Mena
32'Yellow card · Jhon Vasquez
34'Goal · Frank Castaneda (assist : Jimmy Medranda)
38'Yellow card · Juan Castilla
Substitution · Juan Zapata ⇄ Jorman Campuzano45'
Substitution · Xavi Eshayth Rios Blanquicet ⇄ Elías Lautaro Cabrera45'
45'Substitution · Jhon Vasquez ⇄ Joel Jesús Contreras Torres
45'Substitution · Neider Ospina ⇄ Kelvin Osorio
Substitution · Juan Rengifo ⇄ James Rodríguez45'
45+2'Yellow card · Neider Ospina

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

Substitution · Chicho Arango ⇄ Ian Carlo Poveda58'
59'Substitution · Yorleys Mena ⇄ Carlos Cortés
71'Yellow card · Frank Castaneda
Substitution · Milton Casco ⇄ Yeicar Perlaza72'
75'Substitution · Frank Castaneda ⇄ Daniel Mantilla
83'Substitution · Luis Miranda ⇄ Juan Ramirez
VAR: Red card cancelled · Yeicar Perlaza85'
Yellow card · Yeicar Perlaza85'
Yellow card · Jorman Campuzano90+5'

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Atletico Nacional80%lost
- Atletico Nacional finished with ten men: sent off in the 85th minute, 5 minutes a man down.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Atletico Nacional had 20 shots against 8, for 0 goal against 2.
Over 7.5 corners70%held
- 13 corners in total, with 21% possession for Llaneros.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableLlaneros 10th, Atletico Nacional 4th (Clausura)

During the match

During the match15′ opening goal, Llaneros (1-0)
During the match34′ Llaneros go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match85′ sending-off, Atletico Nacional (Yeicar Perlaza)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Atletico Nacional” goes from 83.6% to 82.1% success rate, over 56 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,964 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Clausura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes