Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera A · Colombia

full time

Wednesday, 23 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Wednesday 23 September at 00:00. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 02:10.

Change noted on 15/09.

Independiente Medellin

2–1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 1–0

Jaguares

What Janus-12 said

85%

Independiente Medellin or draw

82% success over 57 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Independiente Medellin or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 23/09, 00:00.

Sealed on 23/09, 00:01announced on 05/09/2026, 17 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

37% success over 57 matches in this league
63%✓

Clausura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	America de Cali	12	8	3	1	+17	27
2	Deportivo Cali	12	7	3	2	+11	24
3	Bucaramanga	11	6	5	0	+10	23
4	Atletico Nacional	10	7	1	2	+11	22
5	Santa Fe	12	6	4	2	+7	22
6	Millonarios	13	5	6	2	+7	21
7	Independiente Medellin	12	6	2	4	+3	20
8	Deportes Tolima	12	5	4	3	+2	19
9	Cucuta	12	4	3	5	-4	15
10	Llaneros	12	4	2	6	-1	14
11	Águilas Doradas	11	3	5	3	-1	14
12	Once Caldas	12	3	4	5	-1	13
13	Internacional de Bogota	13	2	7	4	-4	13
14	Chico	11	3	3	5	-8	12
15	Alianza Valledupar	12	3	2	7	-12	11
16	Fortaleza FC	12	1	7	4	-5	10
17	Junior	11	2	3	6	-4	9
18	Deportivo Pasto	12	2	3	7	-9	9
19	Deportivo Pereira	11	1	5	5	-10	8
20	Jaguares	11	1	4	6	-9	7

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Independiente Medellin or draw85%held
- Jaguares played 6 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 84th minute.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 9 shots on target for Independiente Medellin against 1.
Independiente Medellin to win63%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableIndependiente Medellin 7th, Jaguares 20th (Clausura)

During the match

During the match25′ opening goal, Jaguares (0-1)
During the match32′ equaliser, Independiente Medellin (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match70′ turnaround, Independiente Medellin go ahead (2-1)
During the match84′ sending-off, Jaguares (Jonathan Lovera)

What it changes

In this league, “Independiente Medellin or draw” goes from 82.5% to 82.8% success rate, over 58 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,398 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Independiente Medellin on the left, Jaguares on the right.

First half

Yellow card · Andrés Rentería17'
VAR: Penalty confirmed · Santiago Cubides23'
Penalty goal · Andrés Rentería25'
32'Goal · Agustín Martegani (assist : John Montano)
34'Yellow card · Esneyder Mena
Yellow card · Jonathan Lovera37'
Yellow card · Rafael Bustamante39'
40'Substitution · Juan Quintero ⇄ Yony González

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

63'Yellow card · Keiner David Klinger Vasquez
Substitution · Darwin Lopez ⇄ Johar Mejia66'
70'Goal · John Montano (assist : Yony González)
74'Substitution · Keiner David Klinger Vasquez ⇄ Halam Stiven Loboa Diaz
Substitution · Santiago Cubides ⇄ Duvan Rodriguez75'
Substitution · Johan Beltrán ⇄ Cristian Alvarez75'
Substitution · Juan Pablo Arcila ⇄ Edwin martinez75'
80'Substitution · John Montano ⇄ Nivaldo Yunior Erazo Hernandez
80'Substitution · Agustín Martegani ⇄ Diego Moreno
80'Substitution · Jeison Medina ⇄ Carlos Alberto Lucumi Gonzalez
Substitution · Andrés Rentería ⇄ Diego Zuluaga84'
Red card · Jonathan Lovera84'

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Independiente Medellin or draw85%held
- Jaguares played 6 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 84th minute.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 9 shots on target for Independiente Medellin against 1.
Independiente Medellin to win63%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableIndependiente Medellin 7th, Jaguares 20th (Clausura)

During the match

During the match25′ opening goal, Jaguares (0-1)
During the match32′ equaliser, Independiente Medellin (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match70′ turnaround, Independiente Medellin go ahead (2-1)
During the match84′ sending-off, Jaguares (Jonathan Lovera)

What it changes

In this league, “Independiente Medellin or draw” goes from 82.5% to 82.8% success rate, over 58 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,398 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Clausura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes