Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera A · Colombia

full time

Sunday, 6 September 2026

Junior

3-3full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 2–2

Jaguares

What Janus-12 said

86%

Junior or draw

79% success over 29 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where this market is covered· 6 bookmakers

Market covered: Junior or draw

1xBet
BetPawa
Betwinner
MelBet
Paripesa
SportyBet

We show the implied probability, not the operator's price. Availability checked on 05/09, 09:01.

Sealed on 06/09, 02:20announced on 23/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other forecasts, most reliable first

62% success over 13 matches in this league
67%✓
34% success over 29 matches in this league
62%✗

Apertura

as of 08/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	+20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	+7	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	+4	34
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	+10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	+9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	+10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	+7	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	+4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	+8	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	+2	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	+6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	-3	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	-5	22
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	-13	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	-17	10

What we announced

2/3

Under each forecast, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Junior or draw86%held
- Junior took control early: opening goal in the 6th minute.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 7 shots on target for Junior against 5.
Over 7.5 corners67%held
- 12 corners in total, with 56% possession for Junior.
Junior to win62%lost
- Junior chased the score almost all match: Jaguares scored as early as the 9th minute.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Jaguares scored in the 80th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableJunior 2nd, Jaguares 16th (Apertura)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, Junior (1-0)
During the match9′ equaliser, Jaguares (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match62′ Junior retake the lead (2-1)
During the match77′ equaliser, Jaguares (2-2)
During the match80′ turnaround, Jaguares go ahead (2-3)
During the match90′ equaliser, Junior (3-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Junior or draw” goes from 79.3% to 80% success rate, over 30 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,299 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Junior on the left, Jaguares on the right.

First half

6'Goal · Yeison Abelardo Suarez Vasquez (assist : Luis Muriel)
Goal · Cristian Alvarez (assist : Juan Pablo Arcila)9'
15'VAR: Penalty confirmed · Daniel Rivera
18'Missed penalty · Luis Muriel
24'Substitution · Kevin Pérez ⇄ Bryan Castrillón
30'Yellow card · Yeison Abelardo Suarez Vasquez
Yellow card · Jerson Malagon40'
43'Yellow card · Juan David Ríos
Substitution · Wilfrido De la Rosa ⇄ Santiago Cubides45'
45'Substitution · Luis Muriel ⇄ Teófilo Gutiérrez
Substitution · Jerson Malagon ⇄ Jonathan Lovera45'
Yellow card · Carlos Henao45+4'

Half-time1 - 1

Second half

62'Goal · Teófilo Gutiérrez
65'Substitution · Juan David Ríos ⇄ Guillermo Celis
65'Substitution · Guillermo Paiva ⇄ Francisco Fydriszewski
66'Yellow card · Mario Sebastián Viera Galain
67'Yellow card · Teófilo Gutiérrez
Substitution · Cristian Alvarez ⇄ Johan Beltrán69'
Substitution · Johar Mejia ⇄ Darwin Lopez73'
Goal · Rafael Bustamante77'
Goal · Darwin Lopez (assist : Johan Beltrán)80'
Substitution · Rafael Bustamante ⇄ Johan Hinestroza84'
84'Substitution · Daniel Socarras ⇄ Edwin Herrera
90'Goal · Jesús Rivas (assist : Edwin Herrera)
Yellow card · Royscer Rafael Colpa Bolano90+4'
90+7'Yellow card · Jesús Rivas

What we announced

2/3

Under each forecast, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Junior or draw86%held
- Junior took control early: opening goal in the 6th minute.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 7 shots on target for Junior against 5.
Over 7.5 corners67%held
- 12 corners in total, with 56% possession for Junior.
Junior to win62%lost
- Junior chased the score almost all match: Jaguares scored as early as the 9th minute.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Jaguares scored in the 80th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableJunior 2nd, Jaguares 16th (Apertura)

During the match

During the match6′ opening goal, Junior (1-0)
During the match9′ equaliser, Jaguares (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match62′ Junior retake the lead (2-1)
During the match77′ equaliser, Jaguares (2-2)
During the match80′ turnaround, Jaguares go ahead (2-3)
During the match90′ equaliser, Junior (3-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Junior or draw” goes from 79.3% to 80% success rate, over 30 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 595,299 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes