Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera A · Colombia

full time

Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Match brought forward

Brought forward to Wednesday 16 September at 01:30. Originally planned for Tuesday 29 September at 21:00.

Change noted on 13/09.

Chico

1-2full timeHT 1–2 · 2H 0–0

Alianza Valledupar

What Janus-12 said

77%

Chico or draw

82% success over 44 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 23 %

A prediction at 77 % fails 23 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Chico or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 15/09, 22:00.

Sealed on 16/09, 01:30announced on 13/09/2026, 2 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

67% success over 18 matches in this league
64%✓

Clausura

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	America de Cali	12	8	3	1	+17	27
2	Deportivo Cali	12	7	3	2	+11	24
3	Bucaramanga	11	6	5	0	+10	23
4	Atletico Nacional	10	7	1	2	+11	22
5	Santa Fe	12	6	4	2	+7	22
6	Millonarios	13	5	6	2	+7	21
7	Independiente Medellin	12	6	2	4	+3	20
8	Deportes Tolima	12	5	4	3	+2	19
9	Cucuta	12	4	3	5	-4	15
10	Llaneros	12	4	2	6	-1	14
11	Águilas Doradas	11	3	5	3	-1	14
12	Once Caldas	12	3	4	5	-1	13
13	Internacional de Bogota	13	2	7	4	-4	13
14	Chico	11	3	3	5	-8	12
15	Alianza Valledupar	12	3	2	7	-12	11
16	Fortaleza FC	12	1	7	4	-5	10
17	Junior	11	2	3	6	-4	9
18	Deportivo Pasto	12	2	3	7	-9	9
19	Deportivo Pereira	11	1	5	5	-10	8
20	Jaguares	11	1	4	6	-9	7

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Chico or draw77%lost
- Chico chased the score almost all match: Alianza Valledupar scored as early as the 10th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Chico had 10 shots against 5, for 1 goal against 2.
Over 7.5 corners64%held
- 13 corners in total, with 64% possession for Chico.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableChico 14th, Alianza Valledupar 15th (Clausura)

During the match

During the match10′ opening goal, Alianza Valledupar (0-1)
During the match30′ Alianza Valledupar go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2

What it changes

In this league, “Chico or draw” goes from 81.8% to 80% success rate, over 45 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,765 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Chico on the left, Alianza Valledupar on the right.

First half

8'Yellow card · Jhonier Alomia
Penalty goal · Edgar Pardo10'
Goal · Deinner Quiñones (assist : Edgar Pardo)30'
32'Yellow card · Jefferson Mena
36'Goal · Jhonier Alomia (assist : Cristian Blanco)
37'Yellow card · Yesus Cabrera
45'Substitution · A. Maya ⇄ Sebastián Viveros Lopez
45'Substitution · Jhonier Alomia ⇄ Daniel Polanco

Half-time1 - 2

Second half

Substitution · Misael Martinez ⇄ Josy Pérez51'
Substitution · Edgar Pardo ⇄ Charly Villegas González67'
Yellow card · Deinner Quiñones67'
Substitution · Deinner Quiñones ⇄ Kevin Moreno69'
75'Substitution · E. Sarria ⇄ I. Camargo
76'Substitution · S. Mera ⇄ Sander Navarro
Substitution · Israel Alba ⇄ Samuel Nieto80'
Substitution · Jesús Muñoz ⇄ Jeison Andrés Osorio Cabrales80'
80'Substitution · Yesus Cabrera ⇄ Delio Ramírez

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Chico or draw77%lost
- Chico chased the score almost all match: Alianza Valledupar scored as early as the 10th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Chico had 10 shots against 5, for 1 goal against 2.
Over 7.5 corners64%held
- 13 corners in total, with 64% possession for Chico.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableChico 14th, Alianza Valledupar 15th (Clausura)

During the match

During the match10′ opening goal, Alianza Valledupar (0-1)
During the match30′ Alianza Valledupar go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-2

What it changes

In this league, “Chico or draw” goes from 81.8% to 80% success rate, over 45 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,765 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Clausura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes