Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera B · Colombia

full time

Monday, 28 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Monday 28 September at 21:30. Originally planned for Saturday 26 September at 21:30.

Change noted on 11/09.

Ind. Yumbo

4–3full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 3–3

Orsomarso

What Janus-12 said

56%

Draw or Orsomarso ahead at half-time

79% success over 43 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 44 %

A prediction at 56 % fails 44 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 6 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Orsomarso ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 28/09, 15:25.

Sealed on 28/09, 21:30announced on 15/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

60% success over 47 matches in this league
84%✓
40% success over 47 matches in this league
60%✓

Primera B: Clausura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Real Cundinamarca	11	7	2	2	+9	23
2	Ind. Yumbo	11	7	2	2	+9	23
3	Tigres FC	11	6	3	2	+9	21
4	Popayan	10	5	2	3	+4	17
5	Patriotas	11	5	2	4	0	17
6	Quindio	11	4	4	3	+1	16
7	Real Cartagena	11	4	3	4	+5	15
8	Depor FC	11	4	2	5	-4	14
9	Internacional Palmira	11	4	2	5	-4	14
10	Envigado	11	2	6	3	+1	12
11	Bogota FC	11	3	3	5	-4	12
12	Real Santander	11	2	6	3	-5	12
13	Union Magdalena	10	3	2	5	-2	11
14	Orsomarso	11	2	4	5	-4	10
15	Leones FC	10	2	3	5	-9	9
16	Barranquilla	10	2	2	6	-6	8

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Orsomarso ahead at half-time56%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 37′ Ind. Yumbo.
Ind. Yumbo or draw84%held
- Ind. Yumbo took the lead in the 37th minute and never let it go.
Ind. Yumbo to win60%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableInd. Yumbo 2nd, Orsomarso 14th (Primera B: Clausura)

During the match

During the match37′ opening goal, Ind. Yumbo (1-0)
Line-up37′ the goal came off the bench: L. Farias (Ind. Yumbo)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match54′ Ind. Yumbo go 2 goals up (2-0)
Line-up75′ the goal came off the bench: L. Farias (Ind. Yumbo)
Line-up79′ the goal came off the bench: H. Mena (Ind. Yumbo)
During the match89′ last goal, Orsomarso
Line-up89′ the goal came off the bench: S. Arrechea (Orsomarso)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Orsomarso ahead at half-time” goes from 79.1% to 77.3% success rate, over 44 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,236 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Ind. Yumbo on the left, Orsomarso on the right.

First half

12'Yellow card · J. Ampudia
28'Substitution · A. Garcia ⇄ L. Farias
37'Goal · L. Farias
Yellow card · J. Barreiro39'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

48'Yellow card · J. Lozano
54'Goal · F. Pena
Substitution · J. Barreiro ⇄ J. Contreras58'
Substitution · R. A. Benitez Hernandez ⇄ S. Arrechea59'
Goal · B. Caicedo60'
66'Substitution · J. Rubiano ⇄ D. Ferrer
66'Substitution · F. Pena ⇄ J. Diaz
Yellow card · S. Gonzalez67'
Yellow card · S. Agamez74'
75'Penalty goal · L. Farias
78'Substitution · J. Palacios ⇄ H. Mena
79'Goal · H. Mena
81'Substitution · J. Ampudia ⇄ H. De Arco
81'Substitution · H. Moreyra ⇄ J. Rodriguez
Goal · D. Barrios83'
Yellow card86'
Goal · S. Arrechea89'
Substitution · S. Gonzalez ⇄ J. Villarreal90+2'

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Orsomarso ahead at half-time56%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 37′ Ind. Yumbo.
Ind. Yumbo or draw84%held
- Ind. Yumbo took the lead in the 37th minute and never let it go.
Ind. Yumbo to win60%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableInd. Yumbo 2nd, Orsomarso 14th (Primera B: Clausura)

During the match

During the match37′ opening goal, Ind. Yumbo (1-0)
Line-up37′ the goal came off the bench: L. Farias (Ind. Yumbo)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match54′ Ind. Yumbo go 2 goals up (2-0)
Line-up75′ the goal came off the bench: L. Farias (Ind. Yumbo)
Line-up79′ the goal came off the bench: H. Mena (Ind. Yumbo)
During the match89′ last goal, Orsomarso
Line-up89′ the goal came off the bench: S. Arrechea (Orsomarso)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Orsomarso ahead at half-time” goes from 79.1% to 77.3% success rate, over 44 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 599,236 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera B: Clausura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes