Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera División (Peru) · Peru

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Saturday 19 September at 21:30. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 21:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Sporting Cristal

3–1full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 1–0

Atletico Grau

What Janus-12 said

67%

Under 11.5 corners

81% success over 16 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 33 %

A prediction at 67 % fails 33 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 5 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 11.5 corners

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 19/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 19/09, 21:30announced on 06/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

81% success over 16 matches in this league
77%✓
80% success over 5 matches in this league
53%✓
69% success over 45 matches in this league
81%✓
65% success over 40 matches in this league
57%✗
56% success over 16 matches in this league
58%✗
56% success over 16 matches in this league
64%✓
44% success over 45 matches in this league
57%✓

Primera Division: Clausura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Garcilaso	10	7	1	2	+12	22
2	Universitario	10	6	2	2	+3	20
3	Sporting Cristal	10	6	1	3	+10	19
4	Alianza Atletico	10	6	1	3	+3	19
5	Sport Huancayo	10	6	1	3	+3	19
6	Juan Pablo II College	10	5	3	2	+8	18
7	FBC Melgar	10	5	3	2	+7	18
8	Sport Boys	10	5	3	2	+7	18
9	Cusco	10	6	0	4	+5	18
10	Alianza Lima	10	4	4	2	+4	16
11	Atletico Grau	10	5	1	4	+1	16
12	FC Cajamarca	10	3	1	6	-6	10
13	Comerciantes Unidos	10	2	3	5	-1	9
14	Cienciano	10	2	2	6	-6	8
15	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	10	2	2	6	-13	8
16	UCV Moquegua	10	1	4	5	-10	7
17	ADT	10	1	2	7	-14	5
18	UTC Cajamarca	10	0	2	8	-13	2

What we announced

5/8

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 11.5 corners67%lost
- 14 corners in total, with 53% possession for Sporting Cristal.
Over 7.5 corners77%held
Over 9.5 corners53%held
Sporting Cristal or draw81%held
- Sporting Cristal took the lead in the 3rd minute and never let it go.
- Sporting Cristal took control early: opening goal in the 3rd minute.
Draw or Atletico Grau ahead at half-time57%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 3′ Sporting Cristal, 26′ Sporting Cristal, 45′ Atletico Grau.
Under 10.5 corners58%lost
Over 8.5 corners64%held
Sporting Cristal to win57%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSporting Cristal 3rd, Atletico Grau 11th (Primera Division: Clausura)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Sporting Cristal (1-0)
During the match26′ Sporting Cristal go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1

What it changes

In this league, “Under 11.5 corners” goes from 81.3% to 76.5% success rate, over 17 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Sporting Cristal on the left, Atletico Grau on the right.

First half

3'Goal · Rafael Lutiger (assist : Yoshimar Yotún)
26'Goal · Luis Iberico (assist : Santiago González)
Yellow card · Rafael Guarderas39'
Goal · Adrián Fernández (assist : Rafael Guarderas)45'
Substitution · Diego Barreto ⇄ Mauro Da Luz45'

Half-time2 – 1

Second half

Yellow card · Freddy Oncoy50'
50'Yellow card · Cristiano
50'Goal · Michael Hoyos (assist : Yoshimar Yotún)
Yellow card · Gabriel Alfaro54'
Yellow card · Adrián Fernández66'
Substitution · Pablo Lavandeira ⇄ Luis Benites69'
Substitution · Adrián Fernández ⇄ Eslyn Imanol Correa Vilela69'
Substitution · Aldair Vásquez ⇄ Raúl Ruidíaz69'
77'Substitution · Luis Iberico ⇄ Gabriel
77'Substitution · Cristiano ⇄ Luis Abram
Substitution · Freddy Oncoy ⇄ Christian Vasquez78'
83'Substitution · Agustín Álvarez ⇄ Martín Távara
84'Substitution · Santiago González ⇄ Juan Manuel Cuesta
87'Substitution · Michael Hoyos ⇄ Irven Avila
90+1'Yellow card · Luis Abram

What we announced

5/8

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 11.5 corners67%lost
- 14 corners in total, with 53% possession for Sporting Cristal.
Over 7.5 corners77%held
Over 9.5 corners53%held
Sporting Cristal or draw81%held
- Sporting Cristal took the lead in the 3rd minute and never let it go.
- Sporting Cristal took control early: opening goal in the 3rd minute.
Draw or Atletico Grau ahead at half-time57%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 3′ Sporting Cristal, 26′ Sporting Cristal, 45′ Atletico Grau.
Under 10.5 corners58%lost
Over 8.5 corners64%held
Sporting Cristal to win57%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableSporting Cristal 3rd, Atletico Grau 11th (Primera Division: Clausura)

During the match

During the match3′ opening goal, Sporting Cristal (1-0)
During the match26′ Sporting Cristal go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1

What it changes

In this league, “Under 11.5 corners” goes from 81.3% to 76.5% success rate, over 17 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera Division: Clausura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes