Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera División (Peru) · Peru

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Saturday 19 September at 02:00. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 21:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Alianza Lima

2–0full timeHT 1–0 · 2H 1–0

ADT

What Janus-12 said

92%

Alianza Lima or draw

67% success over 43 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Alianza Lima or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 18/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 19/09, 02:00announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

67% success over 3 matches in this league
53%✓
42% success over 43 matches in this league
77%✓

Primera Division: Apertura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	17	12	4	1	+22	40
2	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	17	10	4	3	+4	34
3	Cienciano	17	10	3	4	+12	33
4	Universitario	17	8	5	4	+9	29
5	FBC Melgar	17	8	4	5	+9	28
6	Cusco	17	8	3	6	-3	27
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	17	7	5	5	+3	26
8	Alianza Atletico	17	5	6	6	+2	21
9	Comerciantes Unidos	17	5	6	6	-2	21
10	ADT	17	5	5	7	+1	20
11	Sport Boys	17	5	5	7	-4	20
12	Sporting Cristal	17	5	4	8	-2	19
13	UTC Cajamarca	17	4	6	7	-5	18
14	UCV Moquegua	17	5	3	9	-7	18
15	FC Cajamarca	17	4	5	8	-5	17
16	Atletico Grau	17	4	4	9	-6	16
17	Sport Huancayo	17	4	4	9	-10	16
18	Juan Pablo II College	17	4	4	9	-18	16

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Alianza Lima or draw92%held
- ADT played 45 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 45th minute.
- Alianza Lima took the lead in the 44th minute and never let it go.
Alianza Lima ahead at half-time53%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 44′ Alianza Lima.
Alianza Lima to win77%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAlianza Lima 1st, ADT 10th (Primera Division: Apertura)

During the match

During the match44′ opening goal, Alianza Lima (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match45′ sending-off, ADT (Luis Pérez)
During the match46′ Alianza Lima go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Alianza Lima or draw” goes from 67.4% to 68.2% success rate, over 44 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,166 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Alianza Lima on the left, ADT on the right.

First half

Substitution · Jeremy Canela ⇄ Jonathan Bauman38'
44'Goal · Marco Huaman (assist : Renzo Garces)
Substitution · Juan lucumi ⇄ Jair Reyes45'
Red card · Luis Pérez45+3'

Half-time1 – 0

Second half

46'Goal · Erick Castillo (assist : Jairo Vélez)
49'VAR: Goal confirmed · Erick Castillo
61'Substitution · Alan Martín Cantero ⇄ Kevin Quevedo
Yellow card · Aldair Rodríguez64'
Substitution · Aldair Rodríguez ⇄ Jhojan Garcilazo69'
Substitution · Joao Rojas ⇄ Alexander Anderson Hidalgo Jorge69'
75'VAR: Penalty cancelled · Federico Girotti
83'Substitution · Federico Girotti ⇄ Luis Ramos
83'Substitution · Jairo Vélez ⇄ Gaspar Gentile
Substitution · Jhair Soto ⇄ Horacio Benincasa87'
90'Substitution · Fernando Gaibor ⇄ Jean Pierre Archimbaud
90'Substitution · Erick Castillo ⇄ Jesús Castillo

What we announced

3/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Alianza Lima or draw92%held
- ADT played 45 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 45th minute.
- Alianza Lima took the lead in the 44th minute and never let it go.
Alianza Lima ahead at half-time53%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-0 at half-time, 44′ Alianza Lima.
Alianza Lima to win77%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAlianza Lima 1st, ADT 10th (Primera Division: Apertura)

During the match

During the match44′ opening goal, Alianza Lima (1-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-0
During the match45′ sending-off, ADT (Luis Pérez)
During the match46′ Alianza Lima go 2 goals up (2-0)

What it changes

In this league, “Alianza Lima or draw” goes from 67.4% to 68.2% success rate, over 44 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,166 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera Division: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes