Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera División (Peru) · Peru

full time

Friday, 18 September 2026

Match postponed

Brought forward to Friday 18 September at 21:00. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 21:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Alianza Atletico

2–1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 1–0

Comerciantes Unidos

What Janus-12 said

70%

Under 11.5 corners

87% success over 15 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 30 %

A prediction at 70 % fails 30 % of the time: it happened.

Where to find this bet· 4 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 11.5 corners

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 18/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 18/09, 21:00announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

80% success over 15 matches in this league
74%✓
70% success over 10 matches in this league
50%✗
67% success over 42 matches in this league
80%✓
63% success over 38 matches in this league
59%✓
60% success over 15 matches in this league
61%✗
53% success over 15 matches in this league
58%✓
40% success over 42 matches in this league
53%✓

Primera Division: Clausura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Garcilaso	10	7	1	2	+12	22
2	Universitario	10	6	2	2	+3	20
3	Sporting Cristal	10	6	1	3	+10	19
4	Alianza Atletico	10	6	1	3	+3	19
5	Sport Huancayo	10	6	1	3	+3	19
6	Juan Pablo II College	10	5	3	2	+8	18
7	FBC Melgar	10	5	3	2	+7	18
8	Sport Boys	10	5	3	2	+7	18
9	Cusco	10	6	0	4	+5	18
10	Alianza Lima	10	4	4	2	+4	16
11	Atletico Grau	10	5	1	4	+1	16
12	FC Cajamarca	10	3	1	6	-6	10
13	Comerciantes Unidos	10	2	3	5	-1	9
14	Cienciano	10	2	2	6	-6	8
15	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	10	2	2	6	-13	8
16	UCV Moquegua	10	1	4	5	-10	7
17	ADT	10	1	2	7	-14	5
18	UTC Cajamarca	10	0	2	8	-13	2

What we announced

5/8

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 11.5 corners70%lost
- 13 corners in total, with 68% possession for Alianza Atletico.
Over 7.5 corners74%held
Under 9.5 corners50%lost
Alianza Atletico or draw80%held
- Comerciantes Unidos played 57 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 33rd minute.
- Alianza Atletico took control early: opening goal in the 19th minute.
Draw or Comerciantes Unidos ahead at half-time59%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 10′ Comerciantes Unidos, 19′ Alianza Atletico.
Under 10.5 corners61%lost
Over 8.5 corners58%held
Alianza Atletico to win53%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAlianza Atletico 4th, Comerciantes Unidos 13th (Primera Division: Clausura)

During the match

During the match10′ opening goal, Comerciantes Unidos (0-1)
During the match19′ equaliser, Alianza Atletico (1-1)
During the match33′ sending-off, Comerciantes Unidos (Agustín Rodríguez)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match56′ turnaround, Alianza Atletico go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 11.5 corners” goes from 86.7% to 81.3% success rate, over 16 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,166 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Alianza Atletico on the left, Comerciantes Unidos on the right.

First half

Goal · Jean Olivares (assist : Matías Eric Sen)10'
19'Goal · Jairo Molina (assist : Germán Díaz)
Yellow card · Agustín Rodríguez25'
VAR: Card upgrade confirmed · Agustín Rodríguez32'
Red card · Agustín Rodríguez33'

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

56'Penalty goal · Cristian Penilla
Yellow card · Matías Eric Sen57'
Substitution · Jean Olivares ⇄ Wilter Ayovi67'
Substitution · Jhon Sánchez ⇄ Óscar Pinto67'
68'Substitution · Guillermo Larios ⇄ Ariel Muñoz
Substitution · Alexis Arias ⇄ Thiago Alessandro Salinas Melgar77'
85'Substitution · Jairo Molina ⇄ Valentin Robaldo
Substitution · Jose Antonio·Parodi ⇄ Yimy Gamero86'
90+1'Yellow card · Ariel Muñoz
90+2'Substitution · Jorge del Castillo ⇄ Williams Aldair·Guzman Vargas
90+2'Substitution · Cristian Penilla ⇄ Christian Valladolid

What we announced

5/8

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 11.5 corners70%lost
- 13 corners in total, with 68% possession for Alianza Atletico.
Over 7.5 corners74%held
Under 9.5 corners50%lost
Alianza Atletico or draw80%held
- Comerciantes Unidos played 57 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 33rd minute.
- Alianza Atletico took control early: opening goal in the 19th minute.
Draw or Comerciantes Unidos ahead at half-time59%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 10′ Comerciantes Unidos, 19′ Alianza Atletico.
Under 10.5 corners61%lost
Over 8.5 corners58%held
Alianza Atletico to win53%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAlianza Atletico 4th, Comerciantes Unidos 13th (Primera Division: Clausura)

During the match

During the match10′ opening goal, Comerciantes Unidos (0-1)
During the match19′ equaliser, Alianza Atletico (1-1)
During the match33′ sending-off, Comerciantes Unidos (Agustín Rodríguez)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match56′ turnaround, Alianza Atletico go ahead (2-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 11.5 corners” goes from 86.7% to 81.3% success rate, over 16 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,166 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera Division: Clausura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes