Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera División (Peru) · Peru

full time

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 13 September at 21:15. Originally planned for Saturday 12 September at 21:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Atletico Grau

3–1full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 2–0

Alianza Atletico

What Janus-12 said

75%

Under 11.5 corners

86% success over 14 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 4 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 11.5 corners

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 13/09, 15:25.

Sealed on 13/09, 21:15announced on 30/08/2026, 14 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

79% success over 14 matches in this league
70%✓
67% success over 9 matches in this league
52%✓
65% success over 40 matches in this league
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61% success over 36 matches in this league
68%✓
57% success over 14 matches in this league
62%✓
57% success over 14 matches in this league
57%✗

Primera Division: Clausura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Garcilaso	10	7	1	2	+12	22
2	Universitario	10	6	2	2	+3	20
3	Sporting Cristal	10	6	1	3	+10	19
4	Alianza Atletico	10	6	1	3	+3	19
5	Sport Huancayo	10	6	1	3	+3	19
6	Juan Pablo II College	10	5	3	2	+8	18
7	FBC Melgar	10	5	3	2	+7	18
8	Sport Boys	10	5	3	2	+7	18
9	Cusco	10	6	0	4	+5	18
10	Alianza Lima	10	4	4	2	+4	16
11	Atletico Grau	10	5	1	4	+1	16
12	FC Cajamarca	10	3	1	6	-6	10
13	Comerciantes Unidos	10	2	3	5	-1	9
14	Cienciano	10	2	2	6	-6	8
15	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	10	2	2	6	-13	8
16	UCV Moquegua	10	1	4	5	-10	7
17	ADT	10	1	2	7	-14	5
18	UTC Cajamarca	10	0	2	8	-13	2

What we announced

6/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 11.5 corners75%held
- 8 corners in total, with 56% possession for Atletico Grau.
Over 7.5 corners70%held
Under 9.5 corners52%held
Atletico Grau or draw70%held
- Alianza Atletico played 45 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 45th minute.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 5 shots on target for Atletico Grau against 3.
Draw or Alianza Atletico ahead at half-time68%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 23′ Alianza Atletico, 45′ Atletico Grau.
Under 10.5 corners62%held
Over 8.5 corners57%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAtletico Grau 11th, Alianza Atletico 4th (Primera Division: Clausura)

During the match

During the match23′ opening goal, Alianza Atletico (0-1)
During the match45′ equaliser, Atletico Grau (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match45′ sending-off, Alianza Atletico (José María Ingratti)
During the match53′ turnaround, Atletico Grau go ahead (2-1)
During the match90′ turnaround, Atletico Grau go ahead (3-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 11.5 corners” goes from 85.7% to 86.7% success rate, over 15 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,367 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Atletico Grau on the left, Alianza Atletico on the right.

First half

Goal · Cristian Penilla (assist : José María Ingratti)23'
Yellow card · Ariel Muñoz40'
VAR: Card upgrade confirmed · José María Ingratti45+1'
Red card · José María Ingratti45+1'
45+4'Goal · Aldair Vásquez (assist : Pablo Lavandeira)

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

53'Goal · Ignacio Tapia
58'Substitution · Mauro Da Luz ⇄ Diego Barreto
59'Substitution · Aldair Vásquez ⇄ Adrián Fernández
62'Yellow card · Paulo De La Cruz
Substitution · Anthony Gordillo ⇄ Jorge del Castillo66'
72'Substitution · Gabriel Alfaro ⇄ Elsar Rodas
72'Substitution · Pablo Lavandeira ⇄ Luis Benites
Substitution · Cristian Penilla ⇄ Guillermo Larios73'
Substitution · Ariel Muñoz ⇄ Jimmy Perez74'
82'Substitution · Paulo De La Cruz ⇄ Eslyn Imanol Correa Vilela
Substitution · Germán Díaz ⇄ Franchesco Flores82'
Substitution · Jairo Molina ⇄ Valentin Robaldo82'
Yellow card · Hernan Lupu90+1'
90+1'Yellow card · Luis Benites
90+5'Goal · Luis Benites (assist : Diego Barreto)

What we announced

6/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 11.5 corners75%held
- 8 corners in total, with 56% possession for Atletico Grau.
Over 7.5 corners70%held
Under 9.5 corners52%held
Atletico Grau or draw70%held
- Alianza Atletico played 45 minutes with ten men: sent off in the 45th minute.
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 5 shots on target for Atletico Grau against 3.
Draw or Alianza Atletico ahead at half-time68%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 23′ Alianza Atletico, 45′ Atletico Grau.
Under 10.5 corners62%held
Over 8.5 corners57%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAtletico Grau 11th, Alianza Atletico 4th (Primera Division: Clausura)

During the match

During the match23′ opening goal, Alianza Atletico (0-1)
During the match45′ equaliser, Atletico Grau (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match45′ sending-off, Alianza Atletico (José María Ingratti)
During the match53′ turnaround, Atletico Grau go ahead (2-1)
During the match90′ turnaround, Atletico Grau go ahead (3-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 11.5 corners” goes from 85.7% to 86.7% success rate, over 15 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 597,367 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera Division: Clausura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes