Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera División (Peru) · Peru

full time

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Sunday 13 September at 02:00. Originally planned for Saturday 12 September at 21:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

Alianza Lima

1–2full timeHT 0–1 · 2H 1–1

Universitario

What Janus-12 said

78%

Alianza Lima or draw

66% success over 38 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 22 %

A prediction at 78 % fails 22 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Alianza Lima or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 12/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 13/09, 02:00announced on 30/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

59% success over 34 matches in this league
62%✓

Primera Division: Apertura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	17	12	4	1	+22	40
2	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	17	10	4	3	+4	34
3	Cienciano	17	10	3	4	+12	33
4	Universitario	17	8	5	4	+9	29
5	FBC Melgar	17	8	4	5	+9	28
6	Cusco	17	8	3	6	-3	27
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	17	7	5	5	+3	26
8	Alianza Atletico	17	5	6	6	+2	21
9	Comerciantes Unidos	17	5	6	6	-2	21
10	ADT	17	5	5	7	+1	20
11	Sport Boys	17	5	5	7	-4	20
12	Sporting Cristal	17	5	4	8	-2	19
13	UTC Cajamarca	17	4	6	7	-5	18
14	UCV Moquegua	17	5	3	9	-7	18
15	FC Cajamarca	17	4	5	8	-5	17
16	Atletico Grau	17	4	4	9	-6	16
17	Sport Huancayo	17	4	4	9	-10	16
18	Juan Pablo II College	17	4	4	9	-18	16

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Alianza Lima or draw78%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Universitario scored in the 90th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Alianza Lima had 22 shots against 9, for 1 goal against 2.
Draw or Universitario ahead at half-time62%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 16′ Universitario.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAlianza Lima 1st, Universitario 4th (Primera Division: Apertura)

During the match

During the match16′ opening goal, Universitario (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match77′ equaliser, Alianza Lima (1-1)
During the match90′ Universitario retake the lead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Alianza Lima or draw” goes from 65.8% to 64.1% success rate, over 39 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,949 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Alianza Lima on the left, Universitario on the right.

First half

Goal · Alex Valera (assist : Gianluca Lapadula)16'
26'Yellow card · Pablo Adrián Guede Barriero
Yellow card · Matías Di Benedetto45+1'

Half-time0 – 1

Second half

51'Substitution · Alessandro Burlamaqui ⇄ Alan Martín Cantero
58'Substitution · Mateo Antoni Pavon ⇄ Gianfranco Chavez
64'Yellow card · Federico Girotti
Substitution · Gianluca Lapadula ⇄ Lisandro Alzugaray70'
Substitution · Jorge Murrugarra ⇄ Horacio Calcaterra72'
Substitution · Piero Quispe ⇄ Héctor Fertoli77'
77'Goal · Federico Girotti (assist : Jairo Vélez)
Yellow card · Horacio Calcaterra84'
89'Yellow card · Renzo Garces
90+5'Substitution · Erick Castillo ⇄ Luis Ramos
Goal · Lisandro Alzugaray90+7'
Yellow card · Lisandro Alzugaray90+8'

What we announced

1/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Alianza Lima or draw78%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: Universitario scored in the 90th minute.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: Alianza Lima had 22 shots against 9, for 1 goal against 2.
Draw or Universitario ahead at half-time62%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-1 at half-time, 16′ Universitario.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAlianza Lima 1st, Universitario 4th (Primera Division: Apertura)

During the match

During the match16′ opening goal, Universitario (0-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-1
During the match77′ equaliser, Alianza Lima (1-1)
During the match90′ Universitario retake the lead (1-2)

What it changes

In this league, “Alianza Lima or draw” goes from 65.8% to 64.1% success rate, over 39 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 596,949 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera Division: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes