Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera División (Peru) · Peru

full time

Friday, 4 September 2026

Match brought forward

Brought forward to Friday 4 September at 19:00. Originally planned for Saturday 5 September at 21:00.

Change noted on 03/09.

FC Cajamarca

2-5full timeHT 2–3 · 2H 0–2

Cienciano

What Janus-12 said

66%

Draw or Cienciano ahead at half-time

61% success over 23 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Draw or Cienciano ahead at half-time

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 04/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 04/09, 19:00announced on 23/08/2026, 12 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

60% success over 25 matches in this league
71%✓

Primera Division: Clausura

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Garcilaso	10	7	1	2	+12	22
2	Universitario	10	6	2	2	+3	20
3	Sporting Cristal	10	6	1	3	+10	19
4	Alianza Atletico	10	6	1	3	+3	19
5	Sport Huancayo	10	6	1	3	+3	19
6	Juan Pablo II College	10	5	3	2	+8	18
7	FBC Melgar	10	5	3	2	+7	18
8	Sport Boys	10	5	3	2	+7	18
9	Cusco	10	6	0	4	+5	18
10	Alianza Lima	10	4	4	2	+4	16
11	Atletico Grau	10	5	1	4	+1	16
12	FC Cajamarca	10	3	1	6	-6	10
13	Comerciantes Unidos	10	2	3	5	-1	9
14	Cienciano	10	2	2	6	-6	8
15	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	10	2	2	6	-13	8
16	UCV Moquegua	10	1	4	5	-10	7
17	ADT	10	1	2	7	-14	5
18	UTC Cajamarca	10	0	2	8	-13	2

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Cienciano ahead at half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 2-3 at half-time, 4′ FC Cajamarca, 19′ FC Cajamarca, 21′ Cienciano, 36′ Cienciano, 40′ Cienciano.
FC Cajamarca or Cienciano71%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFC Cajamarca 12th, Cienciano 14th (Primera Division: Clausura)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, FC Cajamarca (1-0)
During the match19′ FC Cajamarca go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match36′ Cienciano come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match40′ turnaround, Cienciano go ahead (2-3)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-3
During the match74′ turnaround, Cienciano go ahead (2-4)
During the match84′ turnaround, Cienciano go ahead (2-5)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Cienciano ahead at half-time” goes from 60.9% to 62.5% success rate, over 24 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

FC Cajamarca on the left, Cienciano on the right.

First half

4'Goal · Brandon Palacios (assist : José Mauricio Arrasco Calderón)
19'Goal · José Mauricio Arrasco Calderón (assist : Brandon Palacios)
Goal · Carlos Cabello (assist : Gerson Barreto)21'
31'Missed penalty · S. Enciso
Goal · Ray Sandoval (assist : Carlos Cabello)36'
Goal · Neri Bandiera (assist : Ray Sandoval)40'
45'Substitution · R. Suárez ⇄ Carlos Gómez
45'Substitution · S. Enciso ⇄ Arthur Alexander Gutiérrez Inga
45'Substitution · Michel Rasmussen ⇄ José Reinaldo Lugo Quiñónez
Substitution · Henry Caparo ⇄ Claudio Nuñez45'
Substitution · Ray Sandoval ⇄ Cristian Souza45'

Half-time2 - 3

Second half

Substitution · Matias Succar ⇄ Carlos Garcés59'
62'Yellow card · Jefferson Orejuela
Yellow card · Gerson Barreto64'
Substitution · Carlos Cabello ⇄ Renzo Salazar66'
Goal · Cristian Souza (assist : Marcos Martinich)74'
75'Substitution · Brandon Palacios ⇄ Carlos Meza
Substitution · Neri Bandiera ⇄ Sebastian Cavero83'
Goal · Carlos Garcés (assist : Ademar Robles)84'

What we announced

2/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Cienciano ahead at half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 2-3 at half-time, 4′ FC Cajamarca, 19′ FC Cajamarca, 21′ Cienciano, 36′ Cienciano, 40′ Cienciano.
FC Cajamarca or Cienciano71%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableFC Cajamarca 12th, Cienciano 14th (Primera Division: Clausura)

During the match

During the match4′ opening goal, FC Cajamarca (1-0)
During the match19′ FC Cajamarca go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the match36′ Cienciano come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match40′ turnaround, Cienciano go ahead (2-3)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-3
During the match74′ turnaround, Cienciano go ahead (2-4)
During the match84′ turnaround, Cienciano go ahead (2-5)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Cienciano ahead at half-time” goes from 60.9% to 62.5% success rate, over 24 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,748 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera Division: Clausura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes