Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera División (Peru) · Peru

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

UCV Moquegua

1–4full timeHT 1–1 · 2H 0–3

Alianza Atletico

What Janus-12 said

73%

Under 11.5 corners

100% success over 5 matches in this league

✓ It happened

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Bet offered: Under 11.5 corners

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 30/08, 15:40.

Sealed on 30/08, 17:00announced on 16/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

80% success over 5 matches in this league
71%✓
75% success over 4 matches in this league
54%✓
65% success over 20 matches in this league
74%✗
60% success over 5 matches in this league
63%✓
56% success over 18 matches in this league
66%✓
40% success over 5 matches in this league
59%✗

Primera Division: Apertura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	17	12	4	1	+22	40
2	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	17	10	4	3	+4	34
3	Cienciano	17	10	3	4	+12	33
4	Universitario	17	8	5	4	+9	29
5	FBC Melgar	17	8	4	5	+9	28
6	Cusco	17	8	3	6	-3	27
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	17	7	5	5	+3	26
8	Alianza Atletico	17	5	6	6	+2	21
9	Comerciantes Unidos	17	5	6	6	-2	21
10	ADT	17	5	5	7	+1	20
11	Sport Boys	17	5	5	7	-4	20
12	Sporting Cristal	17	5	4	8	-2	19
13	UTC Cajamarca	17	4	6	7	-5	18
14	UCV Moquegua	17	5	3	9	-7	18
15	FC Cajamarca	17	4	5	8	-5	17
16	Atletico Grau	17	4	4	9	-6	16
17	Sport Huancayo	17	4	4	9	-10	16
18	Juan Pablo II College	17	4	4	9	-18	16

What we announced

5/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 11.5 corners73%held
- 8 corners in total, with 53% possession for UCV Moquegua.
Over 7.5 corners71%held
Under 9.5 corners54%held
UCV Moquegua or draw74%lost
- UCV Moquegua finished with ten men: sent off in the 68th minute, 22 minutes a man down.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Alianza Atletico scored in the 90th minute.
Under 10.5 corners63%held
Draw or Alianza Atletico ahead at half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 20′ UCV Moquegua, 24′ Alianza Atletico.
Over 8.5 corners59%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableUCV Moquegua 14th, Alianza Atletico 8th (Primera Division: Apertura)

During the match

During the match20′ opening goal, UCV Moquegua (1-0)
During the match24′ equaliser, Alianza Atletico (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match56′ turnaround, Alianza Atletico go ahead (1-2)
During the match61′ turnaround, Alianza Atletico go ahead (1-3)
During the match68′ sending-off, UCV Moquegua (Y. Zapata)
During the match90′ turnaround, Alianza Atletico go ahead (1-4)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 11.5 corners” goes from 100% to 100% success rate, over 6 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

UCV Moquegua on the left, Alianza Atletico on the right.

First half

Yellow card · J. Ingratti12'
20'Goal · Bryan Angulo (assist : E. Lastre)
Goal · J. Molina24'
33'Yellow card · D. Ramirez

Half-time1 – 1

Second half

46'Substitution · D. Ramirez ⇄ N. Chavez
Yellow card · R. Suarez49'
Yellow card · A. Munoz51'
Goal · J. Lujan56'
59'Substitution · R. Chipao ⇄ Y. Lopez
Substitution · J. Ingratti ⇄ G. A. Larios Saavedra59'
Goal · C. Penilla (assist : S. Fernandez)61'
65'VAR: Goal Disallowed - Foul · Bryan Angulo
68'Red card · Y. Zapata
Substitution · A. Munoz ⇄ J. Perez76'
Substitution · C. Penilla ⇄ J. del Castillo76'
81'Substitution · Bryan Angulo ⇄ A. Davila
81'Substitution · E. Montenegro ⇄ J. Jimenez
Substitution · J. Molina ⇄ V. Robaldo83'
Substitution · H. Lupu ⇄ F. Flores83'
Goal · J. del Castillo (assist : G. A. Larios Saavedra)90+1'

What we announced

5/7

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 11.5 corners73%held
- 8 corners in total, with 53% possession for UCV Moquegua.
Over 7.5 corners71%held
Under 9.5 corners54%held
UCV Moquegua or draw74%lost
- UCV Moquegua finished with ten men: sent off in the 68th minute, 22 minutes a man down.
- It all came down to the final minutes: Alianza Atletico scored in the 90th minute.
Under 10.5 corners63%held
Draw or Alianza Atletico ahead at half-time66%held
- It was all decided before the break: 1-1 at half-time, 20′ UCV Moquegua, 24′ Alianza Atletico.
Over 8.5 corners59%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableUCV Moquegua 14th, Alianza Atletico 8th (Primera Division: Apertura)

During the match

During the match20′ opening goal, UCV Moquegua (1-0)
During the match24′ equaliser, Alianza Atletico (1-1)
During the matchHalf-time: 1-1
During the match56′ turnaround, Alianza Atletico go ahead (1-2)
During the match61′ turnaround, Alianza Atletico go ahead (1-3)
During the match68′ sending-off, UCV Moquegua (Y. Zapata)
During the match90′ turnaround, Alianza Atletico go ahead (1-4)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 11.5 corners” goes from 100% to 100% success rate, over 6 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera Division: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes