Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera División (Peru) · Peru

full time

Friday, 28 August 2026

Comerciantes Unidos

2–3full timeHT 0–2 · 2H 2–1

FC Cajamarca

What Janus-12 said

77%

Under 11.5 corners

100% success over 4 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 4 bookmakers

Bet offered: Under 11.5 corners

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 28/08, 15:25.

Sealed on 28/08, 21:00announced on 15/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

75% success over 16 matches in this league
81%✗
75% success over 4 matches in this league
67%✓
75% success over 4 matches in this league
53%✓
53% success over 15 matches in this league
57%✓
50% success over 16 matches in this league
56%✗
50% success over 4 matches in this league
63%✓
50% success over 4 matches in this league
56%✗

Primera Division: Apertura

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	17	12	4	1	+22	40
2	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	17	10	4	3	+4	34
3	Cienciano	17	10	3	4	+12	33
4	Universitario	17	8	5	4	+9	29
5	FBC Melgar	17	8	4	5	+9	28
6	Cusco	17	8	3	6	-3	27
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	17	7	5	5	+3	26
8	Alianza Atletico	17	5	6	6	+2	21
9	Comerciantes Unidos	17	5	6	6	-2	21
10	ADT	17	5	5	7	+1	20
11	Sport Boys	17	5	5	7	-4	20
12	Sporting Cristal	17	5	4	8	-2	19
13	UTC Cajamarca	17	4	6	7	-5	18
14	UCV Moquegua	17	5	3	9	-7	18
15	FC Cajamarca	17	4	5	8	-5	17
16	Atletico Grau	17	4	4	9	-6	16
17	Sport Huancayo	17	4	4	9	-10	16
18	Juan Pablo II College	17	4	4	9	-18	16

What we announced

5/8

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 11.5 corners77%held
- 8 corners in total, with 72% possession for Comerciantes Unidos.
Comerciantes Unidos or draw81%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: FC Cajamarca scored in the 89th minute.
- Comerciantes Unidos chased the score almost all match: FC Cajamarca scored as early as the 7th minute.
Over 7.5 corners67%held
Under 9.5 corners53%held
Draw or FC Cajamarca ahead at half-time57%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-2 at half-time, 7′ FC Cajamarca, 10′ FC Cajamarca.
Comerciantes Unidos to win56%lost
Under 10.5 corners63%held
Over 8.5 corners56%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableComerciantes Unidos 9th, FC Cajamarca 15th (Primera Division: Apertura)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, FC Cajamarca (0-1)
During the match10′ FC Cajamarca go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match59′ Comerciantes Unidos come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match89′ FC Cajamarca retake the lead (2-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 11.5 corners” goes from 100% to 100% success rate, over 5 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,217 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Comerciantes Unidos on the left, FC Cajamarca on the right.

First half

Goal · M. Rasmussen (assist : C. A. Correa Flores)7'
Goal · M. Arrasco (assist : A. J. Posito Olazabal)10'
17'VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside · F. Alcedo
Yellow card · C. A. Correa Flores45+6'

Half-time0 – 2

Second half

46'Substitution · A. Rodriguez ⇄ J. Olivares
46'Substitution · W. Ayovi ⇄ Jhon Sanchez
46'Substitution · J. Herrera ⇄ T. Salinas
49'Yellow card · F. Alcedo
52'Goal · J. Olivares
58'Substitution · E. M. Perez Azambuya ⇄ M. Sen
59'Penalty goal · R. Vilca
62'Yellow card · J. Olivares
Substitution · B. Palacios ⇄ A. Gutierrez67'
Substitution · C. A. Correa Flores ⇄ P. Goyoneche67'
Substitution · M. Rasmussen ⇄ C. Gomez73'
Yellow card · M. Arrasco78'
84'Substitution · J. Olivares ⇄ M. P. Carpio Ferro
Substitution · P. Cejas ⇄ J. Lugo85'
Goal · M. Arrasco (assist : S. Enciso)89'

What we announced

5/8

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Under 11.5 corners77%held
- 8 corners in total, with 72% possession for Comerciantes Unidos.
Comerciantes Unidos or draw81%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: FC Cajamarca scored in the 89th minute.
- Comerciantes Unidos chased the score almost all match: FC Cajamarca scored as early as the 7th minute.
Over 7.5 corners67%held
Under 9.5 corners53%held
Draw or FC Cajamarca ahead at half-time57%held
- It was all decided before the break: 0-2 at half-time, 7′ FC Cajamarca, 10′ FC Cajamarca.
Comerciantes Unidos to win56%lost
Under 10.5 corners63%held
Over 8.5 corners56%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableComerciantes Unidos 9th, FC Cajamarca 15th (Primera Division: Apertura)

During the match

During the match7′ opening goal, FC Cajamarca (0-1)
During the match10′ FC Cajamarca go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match59′ Comerciantes Unidos come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match89′ FC Cajamarca retake the lead (2-3)

What it changes

In this league, “Under 11.5 corners” goes from 100% to 100% success rate, over 5 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,217 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera Division: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes