Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Primera División (Peru) · Peru

full time

Saturday, 29 August 2026

UTC Cajamarca

2-4full timeHT 2–1 · 2H 0–3

Universitario

What Janus-12 said

85%

Draw or Universitario

67% success over 18 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: Draw or Universitario

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 29/08, 15:43.

Sealed on 29/08, 21:30announced on 16/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

56% success over 16 matches in this league
82%✗
44% success over 18 matches in this league
59%✓

Primera Division: Apertura

as of 07/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	17	12	4	1	+22	40
2	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	17	10	4	3	+4	34
3	Cienciano	17	10	3	4	+12	33
4	Universitario	17	8	5	4	+9	29
5	FBC Melgar	17	8	4	5	+9	28
6	Cusco	17	8	3	6	-3	27
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	17	7	5	5	+3	26
8	Alianza Atletico	17	5	6	6	+2	21
9	Comerciantes Unidos	17	5	6	6	-2	21
10	ADT	17	5	5	7	+1	20
11	Sport Boys	17	5	5	7	-4	20
12	Sporting Cristal	17	5	4	8	-2	19
13	UTC Cajamarca	17	4	6	7	-5	18
14	UCV Moquegua	17	5	3	9	-7	18
15	FC Cajamarca	17	4	5	8	-5	17
16	Atletico Grau	17	4	4	9	-6	16
17	Sport Huancayo	17	4	4	9	-10	16
18	Juan Pablo II College	17	4	4	9	-18	16

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Universitario85%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 9 shots on target for Universitario against 7.
Draw or Universitario ahead at half-time82%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 16′ UTC Cajamarca, 20′ UTC Cajamarca, 45′ Universitario.
Universitario to win59%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableUTC Cajamarca 13th, Universitario 4th (Primera Division: Apertura)

During the match

During the match16′ opening goal, UTC Cajamarca (1-0)
During the match20′ UTC Cajamarca go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match73′ Universitario come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match77′ turnaround, Universitario go ahead (2-3)
During the match80′ turnaround, Universitario go ahead (2-4)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Universitario” goes from 66.7% to 68.4% success rate, over 19 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,588 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

UTC Cajamarca on the left, Universitario on the right.

First half

16'Goal · L. Arce (assist : M. Lliuya)
20'Goal · A. Arroyo (assist : D. Camacho)
24'Yellow card · A. Arroyo
Substitution · A. Quiroz ⇄ P. A. Quispe Cordova29'
32'Yellow card · A. Figuera
45'Yellow card · L. Garro
Goal · J. Concha45+1'
Yellow card · J. Requena45+2'

Half-time2 - 1

Second half

Substitution · C. Fara ⇄ A. Santamaria46'
46'Substitution · I. Barrios ⇄ R. Bettocchi
57'Substitution · J. Huerto ⇄ D. Caro
Yellow card · A. Santamaria61'
63'Substitution · L. Garro ⇄ G. Paredes
Substitution · G. Lapadula ⇄ L. Alzugaray66'
Substitution · J. Requena ⇄ J. Murrugarra66'
Goal · W. Riveros (assist : J. Concha)73'
Goal · A. Valera (assist : C. Inga)77'
Goal · A. Polo (assist : L. Alzugaray)80'
81'Substitution · A. Arroyo ⇄ M. de Jesus
81'Substitution · B. Duarte ⇄ J. Cantt
Substitution · C. Inga ⇄ J. Gutierrez83'
84'Yellow card · D. Camacho

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or Universitario85%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 9 shots on target for Universitario against 7.
Draw or Universitario ahead at half-time82%lost
- It was all decided before the break: 2-1 at half-time, 16′ UTC Cajamarca, 20′ UTC Cajamarca, 45′ Universitario.
Universitario to win59%held

What happened

Before kick-off

TableUTC Cajamarca 13th, Universitario 4th (Primera Division: Apertura)

During the match

During the match16′ opening goal, UTC Cajamarca (1-0)
During the match20′ UTC Cajamarca go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-1
During the match73′ Universitario come back from 2 goals down (2-2)
During the match77′ turnaround, Universitario go ahead (2-3)
During the match80′ turnaround, Universitario go ahead (2-4)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or Universitario” goes from 66.7% to 68.4% success rate, over 19 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,588 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Primera Division: Apertura

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes