Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Superliga (Denmark) · Denmark

full time

Saturday, 5 September 2026

AGF

2–2full timeHT 0–2 · 2H 2–0

Silkeborg IF

What Janus-12 said

82%

AGF or draw

78% success over 37 matches in this league

✓ It happened

Where to find this bet· 8 bookmakers

Bet offered: AGF or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 05/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 05/09, 17:00announced on 22/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

64% success over 14 matches in this league
60%✓
62% success over 37 matches in this league
56%✗

Superliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC København	9	8	0	1	+15	24
2	FC Midtjylland	9	5	4	0	+8	19
3	Viborg FF	9	5	2	2	+7	17
4	Nordsjælland	9	5	2	2	+4	17
5	Brøndby IF	9	4	1	4	-3	13
6	Horsens	9	3	2	4	-1	11
7	Silkeborg IF	9	2	4	3	0	10
8	Randers FC	9	3	1	5	-3	10
9	Odense BK	9	2	3	4	-6	9
10	Lyngby Boldklub	9	1	4	4	-6	7
11	AGF	9	0	5	4	-6	5
12	Sønderjyske Fodbold	9	1	2	6	-9	5

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

AGF or draw82%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 6 shots on target for AGF against 4.
Over 9.5 corners60%held
- 12 corners in total, with 62% possession for AGF.
AGF to win56%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: AGF had 16 shots against 10, for 2 goals against 2.
- AGF chased the score almost all match: Silkeborg IF scored as early as the 29th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAGF 11th, Silkeborg IF 7th (Superliga)

During the match

During the match29′ opening goal, Silkeborg IF (0-1)
During the match39′ Silkeborg IF go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match90′ AGF come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “AGF or draw” goes from 78.4% to 78.9% success rate, over 38 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

AGF on the left, Silkeborg IF on the right.

First half

VAR: Penalty confirmed · Rami Hajal26'
Penalty goal · Rami Hajal29'
Goal · Lucas Thorst Riisgaard (assist : William Kirk)39'
45'Substitution · Rasmus Carstensen ⇄ Frederik Emmery
45'Substitution · James Bogere ⇄ Janni Serra

Half-time0 – 2

Second half

63'Substitution · Tobias Bech Kristensen ⇄ Callum McCowatt
Substitution · Rami Hajal ⇄ Kristian Kirkegaard67'
71'Substitution · Colin Rosler ⇄ Jacob Andersen
Substitution · William Kirk ⇄ Andreas Poulsen71'
Substitution · Oliver Ross ⇄ Malthe Emil Søgaard Hansen71'
79'Substitution · Magnus Knudsen ⇄ Stefen Tchamche
Substitution · Lucas Thorst Riisgaard ⇄ Julius Lorents Nielsen82'
Substitution · Villads Westh ⇄ Maël Durand de Gevigney82'
88'Goal · Janni Serra (assist : Frederik Emmery)
90+1'Yellow card · Mikael Anderson
90+3'Goal · Janni Serra

What we announced

2/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

AGF or draw82%held
- The superiority showed on the pitch: 6 shots on target for AGF against 4.
Over 9.5 corners60%held
- 12 corners in total, with 62% possession for AGF.
AGF to win56%lost
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: AGF had 16 shots against 10, for 2 goals against 2.
- AGF chased the score almost all match: Silkeborg IF scored as early as the 29th minute.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableAGF 11th, Silkeborg IF 7th (Superliga)

During the match

During the match29′ opening goal, Silkeborg IF (0-1)
During the match39′ Silkeborg IF go 2 goals up (0-2)
During the matchHalf-time: 0-2
During the match90′ AGF come back from 2 goals down (2-2)

What it changes

In this league, “AGF or draw” goes from 78.4% to 78.9% success rate, over 38 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 594,977 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Superliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes