Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

Superliga (Denmark) · Denmark

full time

Sunday, 30 August 2026

Randers FC

2–1full timeHT 2–0 · 2H 0–1

AGF

What Janus-12 said

74%

Draw or AGF

83% success over 29 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 26 %

A prediction at 74 % fails 26 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Draw or AGF

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 30/08, 09:31.

Sealed on 30/08, 15:00announced on 16/08/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

71% success over 7 matches in this league
61%✗

Superliga

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	FC København	9	8	0	1	+15	24
2	FC Midtjylland	9	5	4	0	+8	19
3	Viborg FF	9	5	2	2	+7	17
4	Nordsjælland	9	5	2	2	+4	17
5	Brøndby IF	9	4	1	4	-3	13
6	Horsens	9	3	2	4	-1	11
7	Silkeborg IF	9	2	4	3	0	10
8	Randers FC	9	3	1	5	-3	10
9	Odense BK	9	2	3	4	-6	9
10	Lyngby Boldklub	9	1	4	4	-6	7
11	AGF	9	0	5	4	-6	5
12	Sønderjyske Fodbold	9	1	2	6	-9	5

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or AGF74%lost
- The chances were on the right side: 1.68 expected goals for AGF against 0.76, and the score says the opposite.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: AGF had 17 shots against 7, for 1 goal against 2.
Over 9.5 corners61%lost
- 6 corners in total, with 41% possession for Randers FC.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRanders FC 8th, AGF 11th (Superliga)

During the match

During the match21′ opening goal, Randers FC (1-0)
During the match28′ Randers FC go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match79′ sending-off, Randers FC (A. Henriksson)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or AGF” goes from 82.8% to 80% success rate, over 30 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Randers FC on the left, AGF on the right.

First half

21'Goal · E. Mahmoud (assist : M. Themsen)
28'Goal · M. Themsen (assist : K. Junker)

Half-time2 – 0

Second half

Substitution · M. Solbakken ⇄ J. Serra46'
Yellow card · K. Arnstad55'
Substitution · J. Bogere ⇄ T. Bech61'
Substitution · R. Carstensen ⇄ J. Andersen61'
63'Substitution · K. Junker ⇄ M. Sankoh
Goal · J. Serra (assist : S. Jorgensen)63'
70'Yellow card · S. Hansen
71'Substitution · M. Sjolstad ⇄ A. Henriksson
71'Substitution · J. Bjorkengren ⇄ O. Jones
79'Red card · A. Henriksson
83'Substitution · E. Mahmoud ⇄ H. Lux
Substitution · C. Rosler ⇄ S. Tchamche83'
Yellow card · S. Tchamche87'
88'Yellow card · M. Themsen
Substitution · E. Kahl ⇄ M. Camara90+2'
90+4'Yellow card · M. Sankoh

What we announced

0/2

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Draw or AGF74%lost
- The chances were on the right side: 1.68 expected goals for AGF against 0.76, and the score says the opposite.
- Finishing decided it, not dominance: AGF had 17 shots against 7, for 1 goal against 2.
Over 9.5 corners61%lost
- 6 corners in total, with 41% possession for Randers FC.

What happened

Before kick-off

TableRanders FC 8th, AGF 11th (Superliga)

During the match

During the match21′ opening goal, Randers FC (1-0)
During the match28′ Randers FC go 2 goals up (2-0)
During the matchHalf-time: 2-0
During the match79′ sending-off, Randers FC (A. Henriksson)

What it changes

In this league, “Draw or AGF” goes from 82.8% to 80% success rate, over 30 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 593,738 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

Superliga

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes