Janus-12 · One eye on the past, one eye on the future

Janus-12

HNL · Croatia

full time

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Match postponed

Moved to Saturday 19 September at 19:00. Originally planned for Saturday 19 September at 16:00.

Change noted on 16/09.

Istra 1961

0–1full timeHT 0–0 · 2H 0–1

HNK Gorica

What Janus-12 said

80%

Istra 1961 or draw

81% success over 26 matches in this league

✗ Fell into the 20 %

A prediction at 80 % fails 20 % of the time: it happened.

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Bet offered: Istra 1961 or draw

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We don't show odds: check them at the bookmaker. Availability checked on 19/09, 15:40.

Sealed on 19/09, 19:00announced on 05/09/2026, 13 days before kick-off

Other predictions, most reliable first

57% success over 23 matches in this league
66%✓
54% success over 26 matches in this league
51%✗

HNL

as of 06/10, 06:35

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Diff	Pts
1	Dinamo Zagreb	7	5	1	1	+8	16
2	HNK Hajduk Split	8	5	1	2	+8	16
3	NK Osijek	8	5	1	2	+6	16
4	NK Varazdin	8	4	3	1	+6	15
5	HNK Rijeka	7	4	2	1	+6	14
6	Istra 1961	8	2	3	3	+1	9
7	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	8	2	1	5	-5	7
8	NK Slaven Belupo	8	2	1	5	-9	7
9	HNK Gorica	8	1	2	5	-7	5
10	Rudes	8	1	1	6	-14	4

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Istra 1961 or draw80%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: HNK Gorica scored in the 90th minute.
- The chances were on the right side: 1.21 expected goals for Istra 1961 against 0.51, and the score says the opposite.
Draw or HNK Gorica ahead at half-time66%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Istra 1961 to win51%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableIstra 1961 6th, HNK Gorica 9th (HNL)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match90′ opening goal, HNK Gorica (0-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Istra 1961 or draw” goes from 80.8% to 77.8% success rate, over 27 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

How the match unfolded

Istra 1961 on the left, HNK Gorica on the right.

First half

45+1'Yellow card · D. Doumbia

Half-time0 – 0

Second half

72'Substitution · D. Doumbia ⇄ G. Albarracin
72'Substitution · N. Skafar Zuzic ⇄ S. Ukich
Substitution · B. Bogojevic ⇄ J. Pranjic74'
Substitution · G. Costa ⇄ I. Cvijanovic74'
79'Yellow card · S. Ukich
Substitution · F. Brodic ⇄ D. Pavicic81'
84'Substitution · R. Hrvatin ⇄ A. Kadusic
84'Substitution · A. Mauric ⇄ M. Kablar
Substitution · J. Frigan ⇄ O. Bakic90+2'
Substitution · J. Filipovic ⇄ S. Peric90+2'
90+5'Substitution · S. Miettinen ⇄ M. Nasraoui
Goal · J. Pranjic (assist : D. Pavicic)90+6'
Yellow card · I. Cvijanovic90+11'
Yellow card · L. Vrzic90+12'
90+12'Yellow card · Isaac

What we announced

1/3

Under each prediction, the most plausible explanation of what became of it.

Istra 1961 or draw80%lost
- It all came down to the final minutes: HNK Gorica scored in the 90th minute.
- The chances were on the right side: 1.21 expected goals for Istra 1961 against 0.51, and the score says the opposite.
Draw or HNK Gorica ahead at half-time66%held
- The first half gave nothing: 0-0 at the break.
Istra 1961 to win51%lost

What happened

Before kick-off

TableIstra 1961 6th, HNK Gorica 9th (HNL)

During the match

During the matchHalf-time: 0-0
During the match90′ opening goal, HNK Gorica (0-1)

What it changes

In this league, “Istra 1961 or draw” goes from 80.8% to 77.8% success rate, over 27 settled matches, this one included.

This prediction came from a model trained on 598,281 matches. This one is now part of it: the model is retrained from scratch twice a day, result included.

Our wins and our failures are counted in the same place, in public. See the full record.

HNL

What our figure doesn't see

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes

How the match unfolded

What we announced

What happened

What it changes